Value bet: Murang'a SEAL to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMurang'a SEAL to win ✗51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Murang'a SEAL host Mathare United in the FKF Premier League on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 13:00 WAT. Murang'a SEAL sit 9th with 8 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Mathare United are 16th on 5 (in the bottom three). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Murang'a SEAL – form over the last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Mathare United 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
Mathare United – form over the last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Posta Rangers FC 1–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 22 Mar 2026, finished Murang'a SEAL 1–1 Mathare United.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Murang'a SEAL 1.7 – 1.0 Mathare United in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 46% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Murang'a SEAL 51% · draw 24% · Mathare United 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Murang'a SEAL to win at 2.10 – we make it 51%, the price implies 48%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 71% confidence at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Murang'a SEAL 1–1 Mathare United. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Murang'a SEAL51%fair 1.95 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.05
Mathare United25%fair 4.07 · @3.14
2.74Expected goals
1.71Murang'a SEAL xG
1.04Mathare United xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Murang'a SEAL 1.7 – 1.0 Mathare United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (ZoraTips)
Murang'a SEAL
Mathare United
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+49%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
+36%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.87
1.03
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
On our numbers Murang'a SEAL have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mathare United 25%.
How many goals will there be in Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
Our predicted score is Murang'a SEAL 1–1 Mathare United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
