Value bet: Shabana to win @ 2.35 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShabana to win ✓49% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.61
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.50
Mombasa Elite vs Shabana prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Mombasa Elite v Shabana in the FKF Premier League – Saturday 7 November, 12:00 WAT. Mombasa Elite sit 18th with 1 points from 6 games (in the bottom three), while Shabana are 5th on 9 (in the top half).
Form guide
Mombasa Elite – form over the last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to KCB 1–3 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.
Shabana – form over the last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Migori Youth 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Mombasa Elite 0.7 – 1.1 Shabana in expected goals – roughly 1.8 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Mombasa Elite 27% · draw 24% · Shabana 49%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.61.
Value angle: Shabana to win at 2.35 – we make it 49%, the price implies 43%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 2.5 goals, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Mombasa Elite 0–1 Shabana. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Mombasa Elite27%fair 3.69 · @2.94
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.80
Shabana49%fair 2.05 · @2.35
1.80Expected goals
0.70Mombasa Elite xG
1.10Shabana xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–017%
1–113%
1–012%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mombasa Elite 0.7 – 1.1 Shabana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shabana to win✓
49%
2.05
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.31
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.61
Draw no bet
Shabana (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Mombasa Elite +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.51
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.41
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.10
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Shabana to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shabana / FT Shabana✓
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.50
–
Recent results
Mombasa Elite – last 6
LLLLWD
28 Oct
@ KCB
1–3
L
19 Oct
@ Mara Sugar
1–2
L
14 Oct
vs Homeboyz
0–1
L
2 Oct
@ Migori Youth
0–2
L
1 Oct
vs Kariobangi Sharks
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Police
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Shabana – last 6
DDDWLL
29 Oct
vs Migori Youth
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ AFC Leopards
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Nairobi United
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Posta Rangers FC
1–0
W
2 Oct
vs Police
0–1
L
31 May
vs KCB
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mombasa Elite and Shabana.
What is the prediction for Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?
On our numbers Mombasa Elite have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shabana 49%.
How many goals will there be in Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?
Our predicted score is Mombasa Elite 0–1 Shabana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?
Mombasa Elite vs Shabana (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
