Thu 12 Nov

Mara Sugar v Migori Youth: numbers & prediction

2–1
FT
Mara Sugar 39%Draw 25%Migori Youth 36% Expected goals 1.01 – 0.96
67%
ZoraTips pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultMara Sugar to win ✓39% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.56
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.13

Mara Sugar vs Migori Youth prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

FKF Premier League action on Saturday 7 November: Mara Sugar take on Migori Youth from 13:00 WAT. Mara Sugar sit 6th with 9 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Migori Youth are 12th on 6 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Mara Sugar – form over the last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with AFC Leopards 0–0 at home. They score 1.0 and concede 1.3 per game.

Migori Youth – form over the last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Shabana 1–1 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 0.7 per game.

On form, Migori Youth have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Mara Sugar 1.0 – 1.0 Migori Youth in expected goals – roughly 2.0 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Mara Sugar 39% · draw 25% · Migori Youth 36%.
  • Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.56.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 2.5 goals, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Mara Sugar 1–0 Migori Youth. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Mara Sugar39%fair 2.60 · @2.68
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.66
Migori Youth36%fair 2.77 · @2.68
1.97Expected goals
1.01Mara Sugar xG
0.96Migori Youth xG
49%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Mara Sugar 1.0 – 1.0 Migori Youth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMara Sugar to win ✓39%2.602.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.35
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.971.56
Draw no betMara Sugar (draw no bet) ✓52%1.94–
Asian handicapMigori Youth +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.711.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.481.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.181.09
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreMara Sugar to score first44%2.27–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.13–

Recent results

Mara Sugar – last 6

DWDLDL
28 Octvs AFC Leopards0–0D
19 Octvs Mombasa Elite2–1W
11 Oct@ 3K2–2D
2 Oct@ Tusker1–3L
11 Sep@ Ulinzi Stars0–0D
31 May@ Murang'a SEAL1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Migori Youth – last 6

DDWDDW
29 Oct@ Shabana1–1D
11 Octvs Police1–1D
2 Octvs Mombasa Elite2–0W
11 Sepvs Mathare United0–0D
13 Jun@ 3K1–1D
7 Junvs Equity Bank2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mara Sugar and Migori Youth.

Mara Sugar vs Migori Youth head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mara Sugar vs Migori Youth?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Mara Sugar vs Migori Youth?

On our numbers Mara Sugar have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Migori Youth 36%.

How many goals will there be in Mara Sugar vs Migori Youth?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mara Sugar vs Migori Youth?

Our predicted score is Mara Sugar 1–0 Migori Youth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Mara Sugar vs Migori Youth?

Mara Sugar vs Migori Youth (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.