Value bet: Grassina to win @ 3.52 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSeravezza to win48% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.16
Grassina vs Seravezza prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Serie D Girone E action on Sunday 15 November: Grassina take on Seravezza from 14:30 WAT. Grassina sit 16th with 7 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Seravezza are 10th on 15 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Grassina – form over the last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Robur Siena 0–4 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 2.2 per game.
Seravezza – form over the last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Prato 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Grassina 1.2 – 1.5 Seravezza in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 50% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Grassina 35% · draw 17% · Seravezza 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Grassina to win at 3.52 – we make it 35%, the price implies 28%.
ZoraTips prediction
We back Over 1.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Grassina 1–1 Seravezza. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Grassina35%fair 2.83 · @3.52
Draw17%fair 5.88 · @3.42
Seravezza48%fair 2.10 · @1.83
2.66Expected goals
1.20Grassina xG
1.46Seravezza xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Grassina 1.2 – 1.5 Seravezza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Seravezza to win
48%
2.10
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win
83%
1.21
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.92
1.70
Draw no bet
Seravezza (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Grassina +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
50%
2.00
1.84
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Seravezza to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Seravezza / FT Seravezza
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Grassina – last 6
LDLWDL
8 Nov
@ Robur Siena
0–4
L
1 Nov
vs Rondinella
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Montevarchi Calcio
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Progresso
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Tau Altopascio
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Lucchese
3–6
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Seravezza – last 6
LLDDWD
8 Nov
vs Prato
1–3
L
1 Nov
@ Ternana
0–3
L
25 Oct
vs Gavorrano
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Rondinella
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Flaminia
1–0
W
7 Oct
vs Lucchese
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grassina and Seravezza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Grassina vs Seravezza?
On our numbers Grassina have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Seravezza 48%.
How many goals will there be in Grassina vs Seravezza?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grassina vs Seravezza?
Our predicted score is Grassina 1–1 Seravezza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Grassina vs Seravezza?
Grassina vs Seravezza (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
