Value bet: Gavorrano to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultGavorrano to win42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.56
Gavorrano vs Lucchese prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Serie D Girone E action on Sunday 15 November: Gavorrano take on Lucchese from 14:30 WAT. Gavorrano sit 4th with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Lucchese are 6th on 18 (in the top half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Gavorrano – form over the last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Mezzolara 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.2 per game.
Lucchese – form over the last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat San Donato Tavarnelle 1–0 at home. They score 1.2 and concede 1.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Gavorrano 1.5 – 1.4 Lucchese in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 54% for over 2.5, 62% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Gavorrano 42% · draw 21% · Lucchese 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Gavorrano to win at 2.70 – we make it 42%, the price implies 37%.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Both teams to score, rated at 62% confidence at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.60, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Gavorrano 1–1 Lucchese. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Gavorrano42%fair 2.41 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.30
Lucchese37%fair 2.68 · @2.30
2.89Expected goals
1.49Gavorrano xG
1.40Lucchese xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Gavorrano 1.5 – 1.4 Lucchese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gavorrano to win
42%
2.41
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Gavorrano (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Lucchese +0.5 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Gavorrano to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gavorrano / FT Gavorrano
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Gavorrano – last 6
DWDDDD
8 Nov
@ Mezzolara
1–1
D
1 Nov
vs Scandicci
3–2
W
25 Oct
@ Seravezza
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Prato
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Terranuova Traiana
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Flaminia
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Lucchese – last 6
WDLDLD
8 Nov
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1–0
W
4 Nov
vs Sestri Levante
1–1
D
1 Nov
@ Terranuova Traiana
2–3
L
25 Oct
vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Sasso Marconi Zola
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Ternana
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gavorrano and Lucchese.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Gavorrano vs Lucchese?
On our numbers Gavorrano have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lucchese 37%.
How many goals will there be in Gavorrano vs Lucchese?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gavorrano vs Lucchese?
Our predicted score is Gavorrano 1–1 Lucchese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Gavorrano vs Lucchese?
Gavorrano vs Lucchese (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
