Thu 12 Nov

Robur Siena v Grassina: numbers & prediction

4–0
FT
Robur Siena 66%Draw 20%Grassina 14% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.81
67%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.39 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.39Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.96 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRobur Siena to win ✓66% · @1.28
Double chanceRobur Siena or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26

Robur Siena vs Grassina prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Robur Siena v Grassina in the Serie D Girone E – Sunday 8 November, 14:30 WAT. Robur Siena sit 2nd with 22 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Grassina are 16th on 7 (in the bottom three). A 15-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Robur Siena – form over the last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 4–0 on the road. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Grassina – form over the last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Rondinella 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.5 per game.

On form, Robur Siena have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Robur Siena 2.0 – 0.8 Grassina in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 54% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Robur Siena 66% · draw 20% · Grassina 14%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.96.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.96 – we make it 56%, the price implies 51%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.39. Predicted score: Robur Siena 2–0 Grassina. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Robur Siena66%fair 1.52 · @1.28
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @4.55
Grassina14%fair 7.15 · @8.10
2.83Expected goals
2.02Robur Siena xG
0.81Grassina xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Robur Siena 2.0 – 0.8 Grassina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRobur Siena to win ✓66%1.521.28
Double chanceRobur Siena or draw ✓86%1.16–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.96 ▲
Draw no betRobur Siena (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapRobur Siena -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.66
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.501.39
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.12
First team to scoreRobur Siena to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultRobur Siena ahead at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Robur Siena / FT Robur Siena ✓42%2.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.26–

Recent results

Robur Siena – last 6

WDWLWW
1 Nov@ Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano4–0W
28 Octvs Ancona2–2D
25 Octvs Rondinella1–0W
18 Oct@ Ternana1–2L
11 Oct@ Progresso1–0W
7 Oct@ Flaminia3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Grassina – last 6

DLWDLD
1 Novvs Rondinella1–1D
25 Oct@ Montevarchi Calcio0–1L
18 Octvs Progresso1–0W
11 Oct@ Tau Altopascio1–1D
4 Octvs Lucchese3–6L
27 Sep@ Mezzolara0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Robur Siena and Grassina.

Robur Siena vs Grassina head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone E table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Prato11740+1325
2Robur Siena11713+1422
3Ternana11632+1221
4Gavorrano11560+721
5Flaminia11542+219
6Lucchese11533+318
7Terranuova Traiana11452+417
8Tau Altopascio11524-417
9Montevarchi Calcio11515+216
10Seravezza11434+515
11Scandicci11434+315
12San Donato Tavarnelle11425-214
13Sasso Marconi Zola11326-211
14Mezzolara11182-611
15Rondinella11245-810
16Grassina11146-117
17Progresso11209-166
18Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano11038-163

More Serie D Girone E predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Robur Siena vs Grassina?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.

Who will win Robur Siena vs Grassina?

On our numbers Robur Siena have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Grassina 14%.

How many goals will there be in Robur Siena vs Grassina?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Robur Siena vs Grassina?

Our predicted score is Robur Siena 2–0 Grassina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Robur Siena vs Grassina?

Robur Siena vs Grassina (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.