Serie D Girone D action on Sunday 15 November: Pavia take on Pro Sesto from 14:30 WAT. Pavia sit 12th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Pro Sesto are 6th on 18 (in the top half).
Form guide
Pavia – form over the last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Cittadella Vis Modena 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.3 and concede 1.5 per game.
Pro Sesto – form over the last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Correggese 4–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Pavia 1.2 – 1.3 Pro Sesto in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 60% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Pavia 38% · draw 23% · Pro Sesto 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.80.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Both teams to score, rated at 60% confidence at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.68, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Pavia 1–1 Pro Sesto. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Pavia38%fair 2.66 · @2.65
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.00
Pro Sesto40%fair 2.53 · @2.52
2.52Expected goals
1.24Pavia xG
1.28Pro Sesto xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Pavia 1.2 – 1.3 Pro Sesto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pro Sesto to win
40%
2.53
2.52
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Pro Sesto (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Pavia +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.87
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Pro Sesto to score first
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pro Sesto / FT Pro Sesto
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.23
–
Recent results
Pavia – last 6
LWWLDL
8 Nov
@ Cittadella Vis Modena
1–2
L
1 Nov
vs Pro Patria
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs USD Casatese
3–1
W
18 Oct
@ Pistoiese
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Varesina
2–2
D
7 Oct
vs Sant'Angelo
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pro Sesto – last 6
WLLDDD
8 Nov
vs Correggese
4–2
W
1 Nov
@ USD Casatese
0–1
L
25 Oct
vs Sant'Angelo
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Varesina
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Solbiatese
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Arconatese
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pavia and Pro Sesto.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Pavia vs Pro Sesto?
On our numbers Pavia have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pro Sesto 40%.
How many goals will there be in Pavia vs Pro Sesto?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pavia vs Pro Sesto?
Our predicted score is Pavia 1–1 Pro Sesto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pavia vs Pro Sesto?
Pavia vs Pro Sesto (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
