Value bet: Crema to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCrema to win50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals72% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–110% · fair 10.01
Arconatese vs Crema prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Arconatese host Crema in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 14:30 WAT. Arconatese sit 17th with 6 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Crema are 10th on 15 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Arconatese – form over the last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Lentigione 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 2.3 per game.
Crema – form over the last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Oltrepò 3–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
On form, Crema have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Arconatese 1.2 – 1.6 Crema in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 48% for over 2.5, 49% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Arconatese 32% · draw 18% · Crema 50%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.84.
Value angle: Crema to win at 2.20 – we make it 50%, the price implies 45%.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 72% confidence at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Arconatese 1–1 Crema. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Arconatese32%fair 3.10 · @2.85
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @3.15
Crema50%fair 2.01 · @2.20
2.76Expected goals
1.19Arconatese xG
1.57Crema xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Arconatese 1.2 – 1.6 Crema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crema to win
50%
2.01
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.95
1.84
Draw no bet
Crema (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Arconatese +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.94
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Crema to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crema / FT Crema
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
10%
10.01
–
Recent results
Arconatese – last 6
LLWLLD
8 Nov
@ Lentigione
1–2
L
1 Nov
vs Pontedera
3–4
L
25 Oct
@ Coriano
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs Città di Varese
1–5
L
11 Oct
@ Castellanzese
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Pro Sesto
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Crema – last 6
WWDWDW
8 Nov
@ Oltrepò
3–0
W
1 Nov
vs Cittadella Vis Modena
2–1
W
25 Oct
@ Lentigione
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Pontedera
4–1
W
11 Oct
@ Coriano
0–0
D
4 Oct
vs Città di Varese
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arconatese and Crema.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Arconatese vs Crema?
On our numbers Arconatese have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Crema 50%.
How many goals will there be in Arconatese vs Crema?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arconatese vs Crema?
Our predicted score is Arconatese 1–1 Crema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Arconatese vs Crema?
Arconatese vs Crema (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
