Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: Licata to win @ 3.05 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultModica to win ✓41% · @2.19
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.35
Modica vs Licata prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Serie D Girone I action on Sunday 8 November: Modica take on Licata from 14:30 WAT. Modica sit 12th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Licata are 11th on 14 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Modica – form over the last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat AC Palermo 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Licata – form over the last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Digiesse PraiaTortora 0–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They score 1.0 and concede 1.5 per game.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 28 Oct 2026, finished Modica 1–0 Licata.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Modica 1.2 – 1.1 Licata in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 42% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Modica 41% · draw 23% · Licata 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Licata to win at 3.05 – we make it 36%, the price implies 33%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 68% confidence at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Modica 1–1 Licata. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Modica41%fair 2.44 · @2.19
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.08
Licata36%fair 2.75 · @3.05
2.38Expected goals
1.24Modica xG
1.14Licata xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Modica 1.2 – 1.1 Licata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Modica vs Licata?
On our numbers Modica have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Licata 36%.
How many goals will there be in Modica vs Licata?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Modica vs Licata?
Our predicted score is Modica 1–1 Licata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Modica vs Licata?
Modica vs Licata (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
