Value bet: Gela to win @ 2.61 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGela to win ✓41% · @2.61
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.00
Gela vs Calcio Avola prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Serie D Girone I action on Sunday 8 November: Gela take on Calcio Avola from 14:30 WAT. Gela sit 8th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Calcio Avola are 4th on 19 (in the top four).
Form guide
Gela – form over the last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Modica 1–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Calcio Avola – form over the last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Siracusa 4–2 at home. They score 1.3 and concede 1.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Gela 1.3 – 1.2 Calcio Avola in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 46% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Gela 41% · draw 22% · Calcio Avola 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Gela to win at 2.61 – we make it 41%, the price implies 38%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Gela 1–1 Calcio Avola. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Gela41%fair 2.42 · @2.61
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.08
Calcio Avola36%fair 2.75 · @2.41
2.50Expected goals
1.30Gela xG
1.20Calcio Avola xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gela 1.3 – 1.2 Calcio Avola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gela to win✓
41%
2.42
2.61 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.73
Draw no bet
Gela (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Calcio Avola +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Gela to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gela / FT Gela✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.00
–
Recent results
Gela – last 6
WWDDDL
1 Nov
@ Modica
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Licata
4–0
W
18 Oct
@ Vibonese
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Milazzo
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs AC Palermo
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Digiesse PraiaTortora
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Calcio Avola – last 6
WLDWLW
1 Nov
vs Siracusa
4–2
W
25 Oct
@ AC Palermo
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Sambiase
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Enna
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Modica
0–4
L
4 Oct
vs Ragusa
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gela and Calcio Avola.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Gela vs Calcio Avola?
On our numbers Gela have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Calcio Avola 36%.
How many goals will there be in Gela vs Calcio Avola?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gela vs Calcio Avola?
Our predicted score is Gela 1–1 Calcio Avola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gela vs Calcio Avola?
Gela vs Calcio Avola (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
