Tercera División RFEF Group 18 action on Sunday 8 November: Illescas take on Almansa from 18:00 WAT. Illescas sit 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Almansa are 12th on 12 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Illescas – form over the last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Manchego 1–4 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.7 per game.
Almansa – form over the last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Villarrobledo 1–1 at home. They score 1.3 and concede 1.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Illescas 1.8 – 0.8 Almansa in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 49% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Illescas 62% · draw 22% · Almansa 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.82.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Illescas 2–0 Almansa. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Illescas62%fair 1.62 · @1.61
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.46
Almansa17%fair 6.03 · @4.70
2.62Expected goals
1.81Illescas xG
0.80Almansa xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Illescas 1.8 – 0.8 Almansa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Illescas to win✓
62%
1.62
1.61
Double chance
Illescas or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.82
Draw no bet
Illescas (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Illescas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Illescas to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Illescas ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Illescas / FT Illescas✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Illescas – last 6
LLLWWW
1 Nov
@ Manchego
1–4
L
25 Oct
vs Huracán Balazote
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Villacañas
3–4
L
11 Oct
vs La Solana
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Noblejas
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Villarrubia
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Almansa – last 6
DLDWLW
1 Nov
vs Villarrobledo
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Toledo
0–2
L
18 Oct
vs San Clemente
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Marchamalo
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Manchego
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Huracán Balazote
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Illescas and Almansa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Illescas vs Almansa?
On our numbers Illescas have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Almansa 17%.
How many goals will there be in Illescas vs Almansa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Illescas vs Almansa?
Our predicted score is Illescas 2–0 Almansa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Illescas vs Almansa?
Illescas vs Almansa (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
