Value bet: Anguiano to win @ 2.93 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVarea to win ✓39% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.40
Varea vs Anguiano prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Varea v Anguiano in the Tercera División RFEF Group 16 – Sunday 8 November, 12:00 WAT. Varea sit 5th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Anguiano are 7th on 17 (in the top half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Varea – form over the last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Haro Deportivo 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Anguiano – form over the last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Vianés 3–0 at home. 2.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Anguiano have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 26 Apr 2026, finished Varea 0–0 Anguiano.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Varea 1.1 – 1.1 Anguiano in expected goals – roughly 2.2 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 42% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Varea 39% · draw 23% · Anguiano 39%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Anguiano to win at 2.93 – we make it 39%, the price implies 34%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Varea 1–1 Anguiano. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Varea39%fair 2.57 · @2.22
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.02
Anguiano39%fair 2.59 · @2.93
2.25Expected goals
1.13Varea xG
1.12Anguiano xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Varea 1.1 – 1.1 Anguiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Varea vs Anguiano?
On our numbers Varea have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Anguiano 39%.
How many goals will there be in Varea vs Anguiano?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Varea vs Anguiano?
Our predicted score is Varea 1–1 Anguiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Varea vs Anguiano?
Varea vs Anguiano (Tercera División RFEF Group 16) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
