Sat 14 Nov

Pamplona v Avance Ezcabarte: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 15 · Spain · Campo de Futbol Beitikuntzea
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Pamplona 63%Draw 24%Avance Ezcabarte 13% Expected goals 1.82 – 0.71
87%
ZoraTips pick

Pamplona or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Pamplona to win @ 1.89 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultPamplona to win63% · @1.89
Double chancePamplona or draw87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.69

Pamplona vs Avance Ezcabarte prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Pamplona v Avance Ezcabarte in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 – Saturday 14 November, 15:30 WAT, Campo de Futbol Beitikuntzea. Pamplona sit 16th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Avance Ezcabarte are 8th on 14 (in the top half).

Form guide

Pamplona – form over the last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Eibar 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Avance Ezcabarte – form over the last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Valle Egüés 1–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.3 per game.

On form, Avance Ezcabarte have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.5.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Pamplona 1.8 – 0.7 Avance Ezcabarte in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 48% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Pamplona 63% · draw 24% · Avance Ezcabarte 13%.
  • Safer play: Pamplona or draw (87%) at 1.20.
  • Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.73.
  • Value angle: Pamplona to win at 1.89 – we make it 63%, the price implies 53%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Pamplona or draw, rated at 87% confidence at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Pamplona 1–0 Avance Ezcabarte. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Pamplona63%fair 1.58 · @1.89
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.26
Avance Ezcabarte13%fair 7.58 · @3.50
2.53Expected goals
1.82Pamplona xG
0.71Avance Ezcabarte xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Pamplona 1.8 – 0.7 Avance Ezcabarte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPamplona to win63%1.581.89 ▲
Double chancePamplona or draw87%1.151.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.871.73
Draw no betPamplona (draw no bet)83%1.21–
Asian handicapPamplona -0.5 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.391.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.911.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals73%1.371.27
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.13–
First team to scorePamplona to score first66%1.51–
Half-time resultPamplona ahead at half-time45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pamplona / FT Pamplona40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.69–

Recent results

Pamplona – last 6

LLLLWL
10 Novvs Eibar0–3L
7 Nov@ Beti Onak0–1L
1 Novvs Valle Egüés2–4L
24 Oct@ Txantrea1–5L
18 Octvs Gazte Berriak1–0W
10 Oct@ Izarra1–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Avance Ezcabarte – last 6

LWLLWW
7 Nov@ Valle Egüés1–2L
31 Octvs Gazte Berriak2–1W
23 Oct@ Huarte0–1L
17 Octvs Doneztebe FT1–3L
10 Oct@ Aoiz1–0W
3 Octvs Cantolagua4–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pamplona and Avance Ezcabarte.

Pamplona vs Avance Ezcabarte head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 15 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Izarra10820+2226
2Mutilvera10640+1222
3Subiza10514+416
4Valle Egüés10442+316
5Beti Kozkor10514-116
6San Juan10433+715
7Gazte Berriak10433+215
8Avance Ezcabarte10424+414
9Aoiz10352+314
10Doneztebe FT10343+413
11Txantrea10343-113
12Cirbonero10334-412
13Cantolagua10406-1312
14Beti Onak10253-211
15Huarte10154-88
16Pamplona10145-87
17Cortes10136-146
18Bidezarra10055-105

More Tercera División RFEF Group 15 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pamplona vs Avance Ezcabarte?

Our pick is Pamplona or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Pamplona vs Avance Ezcabarte?

On our numbers Pamplona have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Avance Ezcabarte 13%.

How many goals will there be in Pamplona vs Avance Ezcabarte?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pamplona vs Avance Ezcabarte?

Our predicted score is Pamplona 1–0 Avance Ezcabarte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Pamplona vs Avance Ezcabarte?

Pamplona vs Avance Ezcabarte (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Futbol Beitikuntzea.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.