Value bet: Mutilvera to win @ 2.28 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMutilvera to win49% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.10
Txantrea vs Mutilvera prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Txantrea v Mutilvera in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 – Saturday 14 November, 16:15 WAT. Txantrea sit 11th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Mutilvera are 2nd on 22 (in the top four).
Form guide
Txantrea – form over the last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Subiza 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.0 per game.
Mutilvera – form over the last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Izarra 2–2 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Mutilvera have the edge: 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Txantrea 1.1 – 1.4 Mutilvera in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 49% for over 2.5, 51% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Txantrea 33% · draw 17% · Mutilvera 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.63.
Value angle: Mutilvera to win at 2.28 – we make it 49%, the price implies 44%.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 72% confidence at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Txantrea 1–1 Mutilvera. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Txantrea33%fair 3.00 · @2.64
Draw17%fair 5.73 · @3.28
Mutilvera49%fair 2.03 · @2.28
2.55Expected goals
1.11Txantrea xG
1.45Mutilvera xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Txantrea 1.1 – 1.4 Mutilvera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mutilvera to win
49%
2.03
2.28 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
83%
1.21
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
1.63
Draw no bet
Mutilvera (draw no bet)
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Txantrea +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.97
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Mutilvera to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mutilvera / FT Mutilvera
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.10
–
Recent results
Txantrea – last 6
LWWDDL
8 Nov
@ Subiza
1–2
L
31 Oct
vs Beti Onak
2–1
W
24 Oct
vs Pamplona
5–1
W
18 Oct
@ Izarra
0–0
D
8 Oct
vs Cortes
0–0
D
3 Oct
@ Beti Kozkor
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mutilvera – last 6
DDWWWW
7 Nov
vs Izarra
2–2
D
31 Oct
@ Cortes
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Beti Kozkor
3–0
W
17 Oct
@ Bidezarra
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs San Juan
1–0
W
4 Oct
@ Cirbonero
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Txantrea and Mutilvera.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Txantrea vs Mutilvera?
On our numbers Txantrea have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Mutilvera 49%.
How many goals will there be in Txantrea vs Mutilvera?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Txantrea vs Mutilvera?
Our predicted score is Txantrea 1–1 Mutilvera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Txantrea vs Mutilvera?
Txantrea vs Mutilvera (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
