Value bet: Peralada to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBadalona to win ✗45% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.02
Peralada vs Badalona prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Peralada host Badalona in the Tercera División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 16:30 WAT. Peralada sit 15th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Badalona are 4th on 17 (in the top four).
Form guide
Peralada – form over the last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to San Juan Atletico de Montcada 1–3 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.5 per game.
Badalona – form over the last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Mollerussa 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.3 per game.
On form, Badalona have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Peralada 1.2 – 1.4 Badalona in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 49% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Peralada 32% · draw 23% · Badalona 45%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.81.
Value angle: Peralada to win at 3.40 – we make it 32%, the price implies 29%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 72% confidence at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Peralada 1–1 Badalona. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Peralada32%fair 3.15 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.12
Badalona45%fair 2.21 · @1.97
2.65Expected goals
1.24Peralada xG
1.41Badalona xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Peralada 1.2 – 1.4 Badalona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (ZoraTips)
Peralada
Badalona
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 5 average
+2%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.42
1.39
Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Badalona to win✗
45%
2.21
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.81
Draw no bet
Badalona (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Peralada +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Badalona to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Badalona / FT Badalona✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.02
–
Recent results
Peralada – last 6
LWLDDD
7 Nov
@ San Juan Atletico de Montcada
1–3
L
1 Nov
vs Pobla Mafumet
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Cerdanyola del Vallès
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Mollerussa
2–2
D
14 Oct
@ Cornellà
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs L'Hospitalet
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Badalona – last 6
WWLDDW
8 Nov
vs Mollerussa
2–1
W
1 Nov
@ L'Hospitalet
2–0
W
25 Oct
vs Cornellà
1–4
L
18 Oct
@ Atlètic Lleida
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs Vilanova
0–0
D
3 Oct
@ Tona
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peralada and Badalona.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Peralada vs Badalona?
On our numbers Peralada have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Badalona 45%.
How many goals will there be in Peralada vs Badalona?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peralada vs Badalona?
Our predicted score is Peralada 1–1 Badalona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Peralada vs Badalona?
Peralada vs Badalona (Tercera División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
