Tona 45%Draw 22%Vilassar Mar 33%Expected goals 1.34 – 1.09
69%
ZoraTips pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.33
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
2
Value bet: Vilassar Mar to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultTona to win45% · @1.99
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.63
Tona vs Vilassar Mar prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Tona host Vilassar Mar in the Tercera División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 11:45 WAT. Tona sit 8th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Vilassar Mar are 13th on 12 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Tona – form over the last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Montañesa 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game. 5 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Vilassar Mar – form over the last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat San Cristóbal 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Vilassar Mar 3–1 Tona.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Tona 1.3 – 1.1 Vilassar Mar in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 44% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Tona 45% · draw 22% · Vilassar Mar 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Vilassar Mar to win at 3.30 – we make it 33%, the price implies 30%.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Tona 1–1 Vilassar Mar. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Tona45%fair 2.23 · @1.99
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.16
Vilassar Mar33%fair 3.03 · @3.30
2.42Expected goals
1.34Tona xG
1.09Vilassar Mar xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Tona 1.3 – 1.1 Vilassar Mar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Tona vs Vilassar Mar?
On our numbers Tona have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vilassar Mar 33%.
How many goals will there be in Tona vs Vilassar Mar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tona vs Vilassar Mar?
Our predicted score is Tona 1–1 Vilassar Mar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tona vs Vilassar Mar?
Tona vs Vilassar Mar (Tercera División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 11:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
