Lealtad host Mosconia in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 12:00 WAT. Lealtad sit 3rd with 20 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Mosconia are 7th on 16 (in the top half).
Form guide
Lealtad – form over the last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat San Martín 1–0 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 0.0 per game. 6 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Mosconia – form over the last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Sporting Gijón II 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 2.2 per game.
On form, Lealtad have the edge: 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Lealtad 1.8 – 0.7 Mosconia in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 44% for over 2.5, 51% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Lealtad 63% · draw 23% · Mosconia 14%.
Safer play: Lealtad or draw (86%) at 1.19.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.86.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Lealtad to win, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.58, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Lealtad 1–0 Mosconia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Lealtad63%fair 1.58 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.18
Mosconia14%fair 7.33 · @3.55
2.42Expected goals
1.75Lealtad xG
0.67Mosconia xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Lealtad 1.8 – 0.7 Mosconia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lealtad to win
63%
1.58
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Lealtad or draw
86%
1.16
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
1.86
Draw no bet
Lealtad (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Lealtad -0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Lealtad to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Lealtad ahead at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lealtad / FT Lealtad
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Lealtad – last 6
WWWDWW
8 Nov
@ San Martín
1–0
W
31 Oct
vs Siero
3–0
W
25 Oct
@ Colunga
4–0
W
18 Oct
vs Caudal
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Langreo
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Avilés Stadium
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mosconia – last 6
DLWLDD
8 Nov
vs Sporting Gijón II
1–1
D
31 Oct
@ Praviano
2–5
L
25 Oct
vs L'Entregu
3–1
W
18 Oct
@ Covadonga
0–4
L
10 Oct
vs Ceares
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Astur
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lealtad and Mosconia.
Our pick is Lealtad to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Lealtad vs Mosconia?
On our numbers Lealtad have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mosconia 14%.
How many goals will there be in Lealtad vs Mosconia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lealtad vs Mosconia?
Our predicted score is Lealtad 1–0 Mosconia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lealtad vs Mosconia?
Lealtad vs Mosconia (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
