Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.51
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–010% · fair 10.08
Covadonga vs Astur prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Covadonga v Astur in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 – Sunday 15 November, 12:00 WAT. Covadonga sit 1st with 23 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Astur are 16th on 6 (in the bottom three). A 17-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Covadonga – form over the last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Andes 3–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Astur – form over the last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Ceares 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.
On form, Covadonga have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Covadonga 2.3 – 0.7 Astur in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 60% for over 2.5 goals, 50% for GG.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Covadonga 71% · draw 21% · Astur 8%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.51.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 61% confidence at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Covadonga 2–0 Astur. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Covadonga71%fair 1.40 · @1.13
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @5.95
Astur8%fair 12.85 · @15.00
3.05Expected goals
2.33Covadonga xG
0.73Astur xG
50%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Covadonga 2.3 – 0.7 Astur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Covadonga to win
71%
1.40
1.13
Double chance
Covadonga or draw
92%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
2.00
1.51
Draw no bet
Covadonga (draw no bet)
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Covadonga -1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.22
First team to score
Covadonga to score first
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Covadonga ahead at half-time
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Covadonga / FT Covadonga
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Covadonga – last 6
WDLWWL
8 Nov
@ Andes
3–2
W
1 Nov
vs Condal
1–1
D
29 Oct
vs Valladolid
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ Gijón Industrial
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs Mosconia
4–0
W
11 Oct
@ San Martín
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Astur – last 6
DLDDDD
8 Nov
vs Ceares
0–0
D
1 Nov
@ Llanes
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ Andes
3–3
D
18 Oct
vs Condal
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Gijón Industrial
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Mosconia
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Covadonga and Astur.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Covadonga vs Astur?
On our numbers Covadonga have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Astur 8%.
How many goals will there be in Covadonga vs Astur?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Covadonga vs Astur?
Our predicted score is Covadonga 2–0 Astur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Covadonga vs Astur?
Covadonga vs Astur (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
