Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
2
Value bet: Machico to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSanjoanense to win ✗41% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.02
Sanjoanense vs Machico prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Sanjoanense v Machico in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B – Sunday 8 November, 12:00 WAT. Sanjoanense sit 5th with 12 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Machico are 2nd on 16 (in the top four).
Form guide
Sanjoanense – form over the last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat União Lamas 2–1 on the road. They score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game.
Machico – form over the last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Camacha 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Sanjoanense 1.2 – 1.1 Machico in expected goals – roughly 2.2 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 40% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Sanjoanense 41% · draw 23% · Machico 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.88.
Value angle: Machico to win at 3.20 – we make it 37%, the price implies 31%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Sanjoanense 1–1 Machico. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Sanjoanense41%fair 2.47 · @2.08
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.04
Machico37%fair 2.71 · @3.20
2.23Expected goals
1.15Sanjoanense xG
1.08Machico xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sanjoanense 1.2 – 1.1 Machico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanjoanense to win✗
41%
2.47
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.88
Draw no bet
Sanjoanense (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Machico +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Sanjoanense to score first
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanjoanense / FT Sanjoanense✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.02
–
Recent results
Sanjoanense – last 6
WLWWWL
31 Oct
@ União Lamas
2–1
W
25 Oct
@ Camacha
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Nacional
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Guarda
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Ançã
4–1
W
13 Sep
@ Florgrade
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Machico – last 6
DWWWDD
1 Nov
vs Camacha
0–0
D
25 Oct
@ Guarda
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Florgrade
4–0
W
13 Sep
@ Alpendorada
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Salgueiros
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Camacha
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sanjoanense and Machico.
What is the prediction for Sanjoanense vs Machico?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Sanjoanense vs Machico?
On our numbers Sanjoanense have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Machico 37%.
How many goals will there be in Sanjoanense vs Machico?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanjoanense vs Machico?
Our predicted score is Sanjoanense 1–1 Machico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sanjoanense vs Machico?
Sanjoanense vs Machico (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
