It is Florgrade v Ovarense in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B – Sunday 8 November, 16:00 WAT. Florgrade sit 7th with 11 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Ovarense are 1st on 22 (top of the table).
Form guide
Florgrade – form over the last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Castro Daire 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Ovarense – form over the last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Alpendorada 2–1 at home. They score 1.8 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Florgrade 1.0 – 1.4 Ovarense in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 44% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Florgrade 28% · draw 24% · Ovarense 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.78.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Florgrade 0–1 Ovarense. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Florgrade28%fair 3.63 · @3.32
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.94
Ovarense49%fair 2.04 · @2.08
2.36Expected goals
0.96Florgrade xG
1.40Ovarense xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–09%
0–29%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Florgrade 1.0 – 1.4 Ovarense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ovarense to win✓
49%
2.04
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.78
Draw no bet
Ovarense (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Florgrade +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Ovarense to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ovarense / FT Ovarense✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Florgrade – last 6
DWLLWW
1 Nov
@ Castro Daire
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Cinfães
2–0
W
17 Oct
vs Portimonense
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Machico
0–4
L
27 Sep
@ Camacha
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sanjoanense
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ovarense – last 6
WWDLWW
1 Nov
vs Alpendorada
2–1
W
25 Oct
@ Salgueiros
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Beira-Mar
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Os Marialvas
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Estrela Calheta
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Sousense
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Florgrade and Ovarense.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Florgrade vs Ovarense?
On our numbers Florgrade have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ovarense 49%.
How many goals will there be in Florgrade vs Ovarense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Florgrade vs Ovarense?
Our predicted score is Florgrade 0–1 Ovarense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Florgrade vs Ovarense?
Florgrade vs Ovarense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
