Fri 13 Nov

Tirsense v Montalegre: numbers & prediction

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A · Portugal · Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo
2–1
FT
Tirsense 61%Draw 23%Montalegre 16% Expected goals 1.73 – 0.76
61%
ZoraTips pick

Tirsense to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.77Odds

Picks by market

ResultTirsense to win ✓61% · @1.77
Double chanceTirsense or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.61

Tirsense vs Montalegre prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Tirsense v Montalegre in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A – Sunday 8 November, 16:00 WAT, Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo. Tirsense sit 4th with 15 points from 8 games (in the top four), while Montalegre are 6th on 12 (in the top half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Tirsense – form over the last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Bragança 1–0 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 1.8 per game.

Montalegre – form over the last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Maria da Fonte 2–0 at home. They score 1.2 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Tirsense 1.7 – 0.8 Montalegre in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Tirsense 61% · draw 23% · Montalegre 16%.
  • Safer play: Tirsense or draw (84%) at 1.15.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.92.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Tirsense to win, rated at 61% confidence at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.64, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Tirsense 1–0 Montalegre. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Tirsense61%fair 1.64 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.28
Montalegre16%fair 6.17 · @3.96
2.49Expected goals
1.73Tirsense xG
0.76Montalegre xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Tirsense 1.7 – 0.8 Montalegre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTirsense to win ✓61%1.641.77 ▲
Double chanceTirsense or draw ✓84%1.191.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.92 ▲
Draw no betTirsense (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapTirsense -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.801.63
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreTirsense to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultTirsense ahead at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tirsense / FT Tirsense ✓38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.61–

Recent results

Tirsense – last 6

WLLDWL
1 Nov@ Bragança1–0W
25 Octvs Maia Lidador3–5L
11 Oct@ SC Braga B2–3L
19 Sep@ Mafra1–1D
13 Sepvs Brito2–0W
6 Sep@ Celoricense1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Montalegre – last 6

WLWDDD
1 Novvs Maria da Fonte2–0W
25 Octvs Ponte da Barca0–1L
11 Oct@ Bragança2–0W
13 Sepvs Maia Lidador1–1D
5 Sep@ SC Braga B2–2D
30 Augvs Ponte da Barca0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tirsense and Montalegre.

Tirsense vs Montalegre head-to-head page →

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Os Limianos8530+718
2SC Braga B8440+716
3Bragança8512+416
4Tirsense8503+415
5Chaves II8404+212
6Montalegre8332+412
7Celoricense8332+212
8Maia Lidador8323+111
9Rebordosa8242+710
10Ponte da Barca8314-410
11Vila Meã8233+19
12Brito8215-87
13Maria da Fonte8215-67
14Vinhais8008-210

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tirsense vs Montalegre?

Our pick is Tirsense to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.

Who will win Tirsense vs Montalegre?

On our numbers Tirsense have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Montalegre 16%.

How many goals will there be in Tirsense vs Montalegre?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tirsense vs Montalegre?

Our predicted score is Tirsense 1–0 Montalegre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Tirsense vs Montalegre?

Tirsense vs Montalegre (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.