Sat 14 Nov

Provincial Osorno v Municipal Salamanca: numbers & prediction

Sat 14 Nov 2026
Provincial Osorno 43%Draw 22%Municipal Salamanca 35% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.01
67%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.31

6/10Rating
1.31Odds

Picks by market

ResultProvincial Osorno to win43% · @2.21
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.73

Provincial Osorno vs Municipal Salamanca prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Provincial Osorno v Municipal Salamanca in the Segunda División – Saturday 14 November, 22:00 WAT. Provincial Osorno sit 1st with 24 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Municipal Salamanca are 2nd on 22 (in the top four). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Provincial Osorno – form over the last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Trasandino 1–2 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 1.5 per game.

Municipal Salamanca – form over the last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Colchagua 2–3 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.5 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 6 Sep 2026, finished Municipal Salamanca 2–1 Provincial Osorno.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Provincial Osorno 1.2 – 1.0 Municipal Salamanca in expected goals – roughly 2.2 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 59% likely.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Provincial Osorno 43% · draw 22% · Municipal Salamanca 35%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.81.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Provincial Osorno 1–1 Municipal Salamanca. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Provincial Osorno43%fair 2.32 · @2.21
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.12
Municipal Salamanca35%fair 2.89 · @2.86
2.19Expected goals
1.18Provincial Osorno xG
1.01Municipal Salamanca xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Provincial Osorno 1.2 – 1.0 Municipal Salamanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultProvincial Osorno to win43%2.322.21
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score50%1.981.81
Draw no betProvincial Osorno (draw no bet)55%1.80–
Asian handicapMunicipal Salamanca +0.5 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals67%1.501.31
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals59%1.701.66
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.271.19
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals93%1.08–
First team to scoreProvincial Osorno to score first48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Provincial Osorno / FT Provincial Osorno23%4.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.73–

Recent results

Provincial Osorno – last 6

LWWLLL
8 Nov@ Trasandino1–2L
24 Octvs Linares Unido1–0W
10 Oct@ Concón National3–1W
4 Oct@ Colchagua0–2L
13 Sepvs Santiago City1–2L
6 Sep@ Municipal Salamanca1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Municipal Salamanca – last 6

LDDWLL
8 Novvs Colchagua2–3L
31 Oct@ Concón National0–0D
25 Octvs Santiago City2–2D
4 Octvs Linares Unido2–0W
26 Sep@ Santiago City0–1L
12 Sep@ Trasandino0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Municipal Salamanca v Provincial Osorno2–1
Provincial Osorno vs Municipal Salamanca head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Provincial Osorno12660+1024
2Municipal Salamanca12570+622
3Colchagua12642+422
4Concón National12633+621
5Santiago City12552-120
6Linares Unido12615+419
7Trasandino12534+218
8General Velásquez12516-416
9Real San Joaquín12345-113
10Lota Schwager12345-213
11Colina12336+112
12Deportes Rengo12327-711
13Santiago Morning12246-510
14Provincial Ovalle12138-136

More Segunda División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Provincial Osorno vs Municipal Salamanca?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.

Who will win Provincial Osorno vs Municipal Salamanca?

On our numbers Provincial Osorno have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Municipal Salamanca 35%.

How many goals will there be in Provincial Osorno vs Municipal Salamanca?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Provincial Osorno vs Municipal Salamanca?

Our predicted score is Provincial Osorno 1–1 Municipal Salamanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Provincial Osorno vs Municipal Salamanca?

Provincial Osorno vs Municipal Salamanca (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.