Value bet: Provincial Ovalle to win @ 2.89 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultColina to win44% · @2.19
Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011% · fair 9.33
Colina vs Provincial Ovalle prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Colina v Provincial Ovalle in the Segunda División – Saturday 14 November, 22:00 WAT. Colina sit 11th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Provincial Ovalle are 14th on 6 (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Colina – form over the last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Lota Schwager 1–2 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 1.3 per game.
Provincial Ovalle – form over the last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Santiago Morning 2–1 at home. They score 1.3 and concede 1.7 per game.
On form, Provincial Ovalle have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 7 Sep 2026, finished Provincial Ovalle 1–0 Colina. Across the last 2 meetings Colina have won 0s, Provincial Ovalle 2, with 0 draws, averaging 2.0 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Colina 1.3 – 1.2 Provincial Ovalle in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 46% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Colina 44% · draw 18% · Provincial Ovalle 38%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.88.
Value angle: Provincial Ovalle to win at 2.89 – we make it 38%, the price implies 35%.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Colina 1–1 Provincial Ovalle. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Colina44%fair 2.28 · @2.19
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @3.12
Provincial Ovalle38%fair 2.62 · @2.89
2.51Expected goals
1.31Colina xG
1.19Provincial Ovalle xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Colina 1.3 – 1.2 Provincial Ovalle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Colina vs Provincial Ovalle?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Colina vs Provincial Ovalle?
On our numbers Colina have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Provincial Ovalle 38%.
How many goals will there be in Colina vs Provincial Ovalle?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colina vs Provincial Ovalle?
Our predicted score is Colina 1–1 Provincial Ovalle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Colina vs Provincial Ovalle?
Colina vs Provincial Ovalle (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
