Wed 11 Nov

Adelaide United v Melbourne Victory: numbers & prediction

A League · Australia · Coopers Stadium
Adelaide United 34%Draw 21%Melbourne Victory 45% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.60
63%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultMelbourne Victory to win ✗45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.03

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Adelaide United host Melbourne Victory in the A League on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 07:00 WAT at Coopers Stadium. Adelaide United sit 12th with 1 points from 3 games (in the bottom three), while Melbourne Victory are 9th on 3 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Adelaide United – form over the last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Home United 0–5 on the road. They score 1.0 and concede 2.5 per game.

Melbourne Victory – form over the last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Persib Bandung 1–2 at home. They score 1.2 and concede 1.3 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 27 Feb 2026, finished Melbourne Victory 1–1 Adelaide United.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Adelaide United 1.3 – 1.6 Melbourne Victory in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 58% for over 2.5 goals, 62% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Adelaide United 34% · draw 21% · Melbourne Victory 45%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Adelaide United 1–1 Melbourne Victory. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Adelaide United34%fair 2.95 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.60
Melbourne Victory45%fair 2.20 · @2.25
2.94Expected goals
1.34Adelaide United xG
1.60Melbourne Victory xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Adelaide United 1.3 – 1.6 Melbourne Victory expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMelbourne Victory to win ✗45%2.202.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.50
Draw no betMelbourne Victory (draw no bet)57%1.75–
Asian handicapAdelaide United +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.741.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.581.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.261.22
First team to scoreMelbourne Victory to score first ✗52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Melbourne Victory / FT Melbourne Victory ✗26%3.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.03–

Recent results

Adelaide United – last 6

LLLLWW
5 Nov@ Home United0–5L
1 Nov@ Perth Glory0–4L
29 Octvs Home United0–2L
25 Oct@ Sydney1–2L
15 Oct@ BG Pathum United2–1W
3 Oct@ Perth Glory3–1W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Melbourne Victory – last 6

LDLDLW
4 Novvs Persib Bandung1–2L
1 Novvs Central Coast Mariners1–1D
28 Oct@ Persib Bandung0–2L
24 Octvs Melbourne City1–1D
18 Oct@ Wellington Phoenix1–2L
14 Octvs FC Seoul3–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United1–1
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory head-to-head page →

A League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Phoenix4310+610
2Sydney4211+37
3Brisbane Roar3210+27
4Melbourne City421107
5Perth Glory4202+36
6Western Sydney Wanderers4121+25
7Macarthur412105
8Auckland4121-15
9Melbourne Victory4031-13
10Newcastle Jets4022-42
11Central Coast Mariners4022-52
12Adelaide United3012-51

More A League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory?

On our numbers Adelaide United have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Melbourne Victory 45%.

How many goals will there be in Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory?

Our predicted score is Adelaide United 1–1 Melbourne Victory, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory?

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory (A League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Coopers Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.