Wed 11 Nov

Macarthur v Brisbane Roar: numbers & prediction

A League · Australia · Campbelltown Stadium
1–2
FT
Macarthur 42%Draw 21%Brisbane Roar 36% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.18
70%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Macarthur to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMacarthur to win ✗42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99

Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Macarthur v Brisbane Roar in the A League – Sunday 8 November, 05:00 WAT, Campbelltown Stadium. Macarthur sit 7th with 5 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Brisbane Roar are 3rd on 7 (in the top four). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Macarthur – form over the last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Western Sydney Wanderers 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 0.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Brisbane Roar – form over the last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Auckland 1–1 at home. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Macarthur 1.3 – 1.2 Brisbane Roar in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 50% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Macarthur 42% · draw 21% · Brisbane Roar 36%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
  • Value angle: Macarthur to win at 2.55 – we make it 42%, the price implies 39%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 70% confidence at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Macarthur 1–1 Brisbane Roar. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Macarthur42%fair 2.36 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Brisbane Roar36%fair 2.74 · @2.62
2.47Expected goals
1.30Macarthur xG
1.18Brisbane Roar xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Macarthur 1.3 – 1.2 Brisbane Roar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMacarthur to win ✗42%2.362.55 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.57
Draw no betMacarthur (draw no bet) ✗54%1.86–
Asian handicapBrisbane Roar +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.992.05
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.17
First team to scoreMacarthur to score first48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Macarthur / FT Macarthur ✗23%4.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.99–

Recent results

Macarthur – last 6

DDWDWW
31 Octvs Western Sydney Wanderers0–0D
24 Oct@ Newcastle Jets1–1D
17 Octvs Perth Glory2–1W
11 Aug@ SD Raiders0–0D
22 Jul@ Uni Azzurri3–0W
24 Aprvs Wellington Phoenix4–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Brisbane Roar – last 6

DWWLWL
30 Octvs Auckland1–1D
23 Octvs Perth Glory2–1W
4 Sep@ Olympic4–3W
9 Augvs Sydney2–4L
30 Jul@ Sydney Olympic3–0W
18 Aprvs Melbourne City2–3L
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Macarthur and Brisbane Roar.

Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar head-to-head page →

A League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Phoenix4310+610
2Sydney4211+37
3Brisbane Roar3210+27
4Melbourne City421107
5Perth Glory4202+36
6Western Sydney Wanderers4121+25
7Macarthur412105
8Auckland4121-15
9Melbourne Victory4031-13
10Newcastle Jets4022-42
11Central Coast Mariners4022-52
12Adelaide United3012-51

More A League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?

On our numbers Macarthur have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Brisbane Roar 36%.

How many goals will there be in Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?

Our predicted score is Macarthur 1–1 Brisbane Roar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar?

Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar (A League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Campbelltown Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.