Thu 12 Nov

Sporting CP B v Tondela: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
1–1
FT

Tondela

WLDWW
Sporting CP B 39%Draw 23%Tondela 38% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.22
75%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Sporting CP B to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSporting CP B to win ✗39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.47

Sporting CP B vs Tondela prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Sporting CP B host Tondela in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 19:00 WAT at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira. Sporting CP B sit 2nd with 22 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Tondela are 7th on 16 (in the top half).

Form guide

Sporting CP B – form over the last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Leixoes 2–1 on the road. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Tondela – form over the last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Felgueiras 1932 3–2 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Sporting CP B 1.2 – 1.2 Tondela in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Sporting CP B 39% · draw 23% · Tondela 38%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
  • Value angle: Sporting CP B to win at 2.88 – we make it 39%, the price implies 35%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sporting CP B 1–1 Tondela. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Sporting CP B39%fair 2.55 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.15
Tondela38%fair 2.61 · @2.38
2.46Expected goals
1.24Sporting CP B xG
1.22Tondela xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Sporting CP B 1.2 – 1.2 Tondela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting CP B to win ✗39%2.552.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.31
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.80 ▲
Draw no betSporting CP B (draw no bet)51%1.98–
Asian handicapTondela +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.31
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.05
First team to scoreSporting CP B to score first ✗46%2.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting CP B / FT Sporting CP B ✗21%4.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.47–

Recent results

Sporting CP B – last 6

WWWWWL
31 Oct@ Leixoes2–1W
30 Oct@ Leicester City U212–1W
24 Octvs Portimonense3–0W
10 Oct@ Vizela2–0W
30 Sep@ Nottingham Forest U214–2W
14 Sepvs Lusitânia Lourosa1–2L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tondela – last 6

WLDWWW
1 Novvs Felgueiras 19323–2W
25 Oct@ AVS1–2L
18 Octvs Alverca0–0D
10 Octvs Torreense1–0W
19 Sep@ Imortal Albufeira5–1W
12 Sep@ Portimonense2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP B and Tondela.

Sporting CP B vs Tondela head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting CP B vs Tondela?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sporting CP B vs Tondela?

On our numbers Sporting CP B have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tondela 38%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting CP B vs Tondela?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting CP B vs Tondela?

Our predicted score is Sporting CP B 1–1 Tondela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sporting CP B vs Tondela?

Sporting CP B vs Tondela (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.