Wed 11 Nov

Feirense v Lusitânia Lourosa: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estadio Marcolino de Castro
1–0
FT
Feirense 29%Draw 23%Lusitânia Lourosa 48% Expected goals 0.92 – 1.31
67%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.32 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.32Odds
2

Value bet: Lusitânia Lourosa to win @ 2.38 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLusitânia Lourosa to win ✗48% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.09

Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Segunda Liga action on Sunday 8 November: Feirense take on Lusitânia Lourosa at Estadio Marcolino de Castro from 12:00 WAT. Feirense sit 18th with 5 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Lusitânia Lourosa are 4th on 19 (in the top four). A 14-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Feirense – form over the last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Penafiel 0–1 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.3 per game.

Lusitânia Lourosa – form over the last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Farense 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.2 per game.

On form, Lusitânia Lourosa have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 0.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Lusitânia Lourosa 1–0 Feirense.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Feirense 0.9 – 1.3 Lusitânia Lourosa in expected goals – roughly 2.2 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 41% for over 2.5, 45% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Feirense 29% · draw 23% · Lusitânia Lourosa 48%.
  • Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.84.
  • Value angle: Lusitânia Lourosa to win at 2.38 – we make it 48%, the price implies 42%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Feirense 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Feirense29%fair 3.45 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.15
Lusitânia Lourosa48%fair 2.06 · @2.38
2.23Expected goals
0.92Feirense xG
1.31Lusitânia Lourosa xG
45%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Feirense 0.9 – 1.3 Lusitânia Lourosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLusitânia Lourosa to win ✗48%2.062.38 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.31
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.821.84
Draw no betLusitânia Lourosa (draw no bet) ✗63%1.60–
Asian handicapFeirense +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.491.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.02
First team to scoreLusitânia Lourosa to score first ✗52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lusitânia Lourosa / FT Lusitânia Lourosa ✗27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.09–

Recent results

Feirense – last 6

LDLLLL
2 Nov@ Penafiel0–1L
24 Octvs Benfica B0–0D
11 Oct@ Farense1–2L
19 Sep@ Salgueiros0–1L
13 Sep@ Chaves0–1L
5 Sepvs Sporting CP B1–3L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lusitânia Lourosa – last 6

DDWDWW
1 Novvs Farense1–1D
25 Oct@ Felgueiras 19322–2D
18 Octvs Os Limianos2–1W
11 Octvs Chaves1–1D
20 Sep@ Madalena3–1W
14 Sep@ Sporting CP B2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Lusitânia Lourosa v Feirense1–0
Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

On our numbers Feirense have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lusitânia Lourosa 48%.

How many goals will there be in Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

Our predicted score is Feirense 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcolino de Castro.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.