Value bet: Portugalete to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOurense CF to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.49
Ourense CF vs Portugalete prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Ourense CF v Portugalete in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 – Sunday 8 November, 17:00 WAT, Estadio de O Couto. Ourense CF sit 10th with 14 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Portugalete are 6th on 16 (in the top half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Ourense CF – form over the last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Bergantiños 1–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Portugalete – form over the last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Arosa 3–3 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Ourense CF 1.2 – 1.2 Portugalete in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 43% for over 2.5, 51% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Ourense CF 40% · draw 23% · Portugalete 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Portugalete to win at 2.88 – we make it 37%, the price implies 35%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 68% confidence at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Ourense CF 1–1 Portugalete. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Ourense CF40%fair 2.49 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @2.98
Portugalete37%fair 2.70 · @2.88
2.38Expected goals
1.22Ourense CF xG
1.16Portugalete xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ourense CF 1.2 – 1.2 Portugalete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ourense CF to win✗
40%
2.49
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.83
Draw no bet
Ourense CF (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Portugalete +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Ourense CF to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ourense CF / FT Ourense CF✗
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.49
–
Recent results
Ourense CF – last 6
DWLLDW
1 Nov
@ Bergantiños
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Gimnástica Torrelavega
3–0
W
17 Oct
vs Coruxo
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Atlético Astorga
0–4
L
4 Oct
vs Arosa
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Amorebieta
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Portugalete – last 6
DDDWLL
1 Nov
vs Arosa
3–3
D
25 Oct
@ Basconia
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Eibar II
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Amorebieta
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs Deportivo Alavés II
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Bergantiños
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ourense CF and Portugalete.
What is the prediction for Ourense CF vs Portugalete?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ourense CF vs Portugalete?
On our numbers Ourense CF have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portugalete 37%.
How many goals will there be in Ourense CF vs Portugalete?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ourense CF vs Portugalete?
Our predicted score is Ourense CF 1–1 Portugalete, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ourense CF vs Portugalete?
Ourense CF vs Portugalete (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de O Couto.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
