Wed 11 Nov

Llanera v Bergantiños: numbers & prediction

Llanera

LDLLW
4–3
FT
Llanera 36%Draw 22%Bergantiños 42% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.61
77%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.24Odds
1

Value bet: Llanera to win @ 2.94 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBergantiños to win ✗42% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45

Llanera vs Bergantiños prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Llanera host Bergantiños in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 16:00 WAT. Llanera sit 13th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Bergantiños are 4th on 18 (in the top four).

Form guide

Llanera – form over the last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Real Oviedo II 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 2.2 per game.

Bergantiños – form over the last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Ourense CF 1–1 at home. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

On form, Bergantiños have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 0.8.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Llanera 1.5 – 1.6 Bergantiños in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 55% for over 2.5 goals, 64% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Llanera 36% · draw 22% · Bergantiños 42%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.66.
  • Value angle: Llanera to win at 2.94 – we make it 36%, the price implies 34%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 77% confidence at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Llanera 1–1 Bergantiños. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Llanera36%fair 2.76 · @2.94
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.22
Bergantiños42%fair 2.39 · @2.14
3.09Expected goals
1.48Llanera xG
1.61Bergantiños xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Llanera 1.5 – 1.6 Bergantiños expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBergantiños to win ✗42%2.392.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.66 ▲
Draw no betBergantiños (draw no bet) ✗54%1.86–
Asian handicapLlanera +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.81
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.521.31
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
First team to scoreBergantiños to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.57–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bergantiños / FT Bergantiños ✗24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.45–

Recent results

Llanera – last 6

LDLLWD
31 Oct@ Real Oviedo II1–2L
27 Octvs Ponferradina1–1D
24 Octvs Compostela1–3L
18 Oct@ Arosa1–4L
10 Octvs Marino de Luanco4–2W
3 Oct@ Basconia1–1D
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bergantiños – last 6

DLWDWW
1 Novvs Ourense CF1–1D
24 Oct@ Eibar II2–3L
18 Octvs Real Oviedo II3–0W
11 Oct@ Arosa2–2D
4 Octvs Coruxo3–1W
27 Sepvs Portugalete3–2W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Llanera and Bergantiños.

Llanera vs Bergantiños head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sestao River10811+1025
2Eibar II10622+1020
3Deportivo Alavés II10622+920
4Bergantiños10532+818
5Compostela10523+417
6Portugalete10442+316
7Amorebieta10514+216
8Real Oviedo II10433-315
9Basconia10352014
10Ourense CF10424-314
11Gernika10262+612
12Racing Santander II10325-411
13Llanera10316-810
14Coruxo10235-49
15Arosa10154-68
16Marino de Luanco10226-68
17Atlético Astorga10217-67
18Gimnástica Torrelavega10136-126

More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Llanera vs Bergantiños?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Llanera vs Bergantiños?

On our numbers Llanera have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bergantiños 42%.

How many goals will there be in Llanera vs Bergantiños?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Llanera vs Bergantiños?

Our predicted score is Llanera 1–1 Bergantiños, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Llanera vs Bergantiños?

Llanera vs Bergantiños (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.