Valladolid vs Castellón prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Valladolid v Castellón in the Segunda División – Saturday 14 November, 14:00 WAT. Valladolid sit 12th with 18 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Castellón are 2nd on 27 (in the top four).
Form guide
Valladolid – form over the last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Sporting Gijon 2–1 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.5 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
Castellón – form over the last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Burgos 1–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Valladolid 1.3 – 1.6 Castellón in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 56% for over 2.5, 60% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Valladolid 34% · draw 21% · Castellón 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.53.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Valladolid 1–1 Castellón. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Valladolid34%fair 2.96 · @2.78
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.58
Castellón46%fair 2.19 · @2.29
2.88Expected goals
1.31Valladolid xG
1.57Castellón xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Valladolid 1.3 – 1.6 Castellón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellón to win
46%
2.19
2.29
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.26
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.68
1.53
Draw no bet
Castellón (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Valladolid +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.23
1.14
First team to score
Castellón to score first
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellón / FT Castellón
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
Valladolid – last 6
WWWLLW
8 Nov
@ Sporting Gijon
2–1
W
2 Nov
vs Leganes
4–3
W
29 Oct
@ Covadonga
1–0
W
23 Oct
@ Granada CF
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Eldense
2–3
L
12 Oct
vs Albacete
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Castellón – last 6
DWWWLD
1 Nov
@ Burgos
1–1
D
29 Oct
@ Conquense
3–0
W
25 Oct
vs Sporting Gijon
4–0
W
17 Oct
@ Las Palmas
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ FC Andorra
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs AD Ceuta FC
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valladolid and Castellón.
What is the prediction for Valladolid vs Castellón?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Valladolid vs Castellón?
On our numbers Valladolid have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Castellón 46%.
How many goals will there be in Valladolid vs Castellón?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valladolid vs Castellón?
Our predicted score is Valladolid 1–1 Castellón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Valladolid vs Castellón?
Valladolid vs Castellón (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
