Wed 11 Nov

Real Sociedad II v Sporting Gijon: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Spain · Estadio Zubieta
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Real Sociedad II 37%Draw 22%Sporting Gijon 41% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.39
75%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.26

8/10Rating
1.26Odds
2

Value bet: Sporting Gijon to win @ 2.74 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultSporting Gijon to win41% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.74

Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Real Sociedad II host Sporting Gijon in the Segunda División on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 16:15 WAT at Estadio Zubieta. Real Sociedad II sit 17th with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Sporting Gijon are 7th on 22 (in the top half).

Form guide

Real Sociedad II – form over the last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Sabadell 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 2.0 per game.

Sporting Gijon – form over the last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Valladolid 1–2 at home. On their travels they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.5 and concede 1.3 per game.

On form, Sporting Gijon have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 0.7.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 6 Apr 2026, finished Sporting Gijon 1–0 Real Sociedad II.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Real Sociedad II 1.3 – 1.4 Sporting Gijon in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 62% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Real Sociedad II 37% · draw 22% · Sporting Gijon 41%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
  • Value angle: Sporting Gijon to win at 2.74 – we make it 41%, the price implies 36%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Real Sociedad II 1–1 Sporting Gijon. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Real Sociedad II37%fair 2.71 · @2.61
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.40
Sporting Gijon41%fair 2.44 · @2.74
2.69Expected goals
1.30Real Sociedad II xG
1.39Sporting Gijon xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Real Sociedad II 1.3 – 1.4 Sporting Gijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting Gijon to win41%2.442.74 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score62%1.611.62
Draw no betSporting Gijon (draw no bet)53%1.90–
Asian handicapReal Sociedad II +0.5 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.341.26
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals51%1.961.86
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.431.37
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals85%1.181.12
First team to scoreSporting Gijon to score first48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting Gijon / FT Sporting Gijon23%4.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.74–

Recent results

Real Sociedad II – last 6

DWLLLL
9 Nov@ Sabadell0–0D
31 Octvs Girona1–0W
24 Oct@ Las Palmas0–1L
17 Octvs Almeria2–4L
10 Oct@ Celta de Vigo II1–4L
4 Octvs Granada CF2–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sporting Gijon – last 6

LWWLWW
8 Novvs Valladolid1–2L
1 Nov@ AD Ceuta FC2–0W
29 Oct@ Guijuelo3–1W
25 Oct@ Castellón0–4L
17 Octvs Albacete2–1W
11 Oct@ Cadiz1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Sporting Gijon v Real Sociedad II1–0
Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Almeria13922+1429
2Castellón12831+1827
3Burgos13733+524
4Eibar12723+723
5Granada CF12723+623
6Mallorca12642+822
7Sporting Gijon13715-122
8Girona13634+1021
9Oviedo13634+321
10Las Palmas13625-220
11Cordoba13616019
12Valladolid13535+218
13Sabadell13463+118
14Tenerife12363-215
15Eldense13427-614
16Celta de Vigo II13346-613
17Real Sociedad II13337-712
18Leganes13337-1212
19FC Andorra12327-511
20Cadiz13247-210
21Albacete13319-1110
22AD Ceuta FC131210-205

More Segunda División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon?

On our numbers Real Sociedad II have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting Gijon 41%.

How many goals will there be in Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon?

Our predicted score is Real Sociedad II 1–1 Sporting Gijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon?

Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Zubieta.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.