Value bet: Olimpia Zambrów to win @ 2.43 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultOlimpia Zambrów to win46% · @2.43
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.41
GoalsOver 2.5 goals65% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.60
Troszyn vs Olimpia Zambrów prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Troszyn v Olimpia Zambrów in the III Liga Group 1 – Saturday 14 November, 13:00 WAT. Troszyn sit 17th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Olimpia Zambrów are 9th on 24 (in the top half).
Form guide
Troszyn – form over the last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 2–4 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 1.7 per game.
Olimpia Zambrów – form over the last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Jagiellonia II 2–1 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
On form, Olimpia Zambrów have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Troszyn 1.6 – 1.8 Olimpia Zambrów in expected goals – roughly 3.4 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 65% likely and both teams score 58% of the time.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Troszyn 37% · draw 17% · Olimpia Zambrów 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.41.
Value angle: Olimpia Zambrów to win at 2.43 – we make it 46%, the price implies 41%.
ZoraTips prediction
We back Over 2.5 goals, rated at 65% confidence at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Troszyn 1–2 Olimpia Zambrów. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Troszyn37%fair 2.67 · @2.34
Draw17%fair 6.00 · @3.54
Olimpia Zambrów46%fair 2.18 · @2.43
3.43Expected goals
1.61Troszyn xG
1.82Olimpia Zambrów xG
58%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–25%
From our goals model: Troszyn 1.6 – 1.8 Olimpia Zambrów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olimpia Zambrów to win
46%
2.18
2.43 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
83%
1.20
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.74
1.41
Draw no bet
Olimpia Zambrów (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Troszyn +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
56%
1.77
1.59
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.22
First team to score
Olimpia Zambrów to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
37%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olimpia Zambrów / FT Olimpia Zambrów
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.60
–
Recent results
Troszyn – last 6
LWLDWL
7 Nov
@ Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
2–4
L
31 Oct
vs Olimpia Elbląg
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Swit
0–3
L
18 Oct
vs Ząbkovia Ząbki
1–1
D
14 Oct
@ Jagiellonia II
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Wisła Płock II
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Olimpia Zambrów – last 6
WLDWWW
7 Nov
vs Jagiellonia II
2–1
W
31 Oct
@ ŁKS Łódź II
2–3
L
24 Oct
vs Mławianka Mława
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Łomża
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki
3–0
W
3 Oct
@ Weszlo
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Troszyn and Olimpia Zambrów.
What is the prediction for Troszyn vs Olimpia Zambrów?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Troszyn vs Olimpia Zambrów?
On our numbers Troszyn have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Olimpia Zambrów 46%.
How many goals will there be in Troszyn vs Olimpia Zambrów?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Troszyn vs Olimpia Zambrów?
Our predicted score is Troszyn 1–2 Olimpia Zambrów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Troszyn vs Olimpia Zambrów?
Troszyn vs Olimpia Zambrów (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
