Value bet: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. to win @ 3.70 – our chance 34% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultZąbkovia Ząbki to win50% · @1.68
Double chanceEither team to win84% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals66% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.16
Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
III Liga Group 1 action on Saturday 14 November: Ząbkovia Ząbki take on Polonia Lidzbark Warm. from 13:00 WAT. Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 6th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 14th on 18 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ząbkovia Ząbki – form over the last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Olimpia Elbląg 0–2 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 1.2 per game.
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. – form over the last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Troszyn 4–2 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.5 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
On form, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Ząbkovia Ząbki 1.9 – 1.5 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. in expected goals – roughly 3.4 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Ząbkovia Ząbki 50% · draw 16% · Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. to win at 3.70 – we make it 34%, the price implies 27%.
ZoraTips prediction
We back Over 2.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Ząbkovia Ząbki 2–1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Ząbkovia Ząbki50%fair 2.00 · @1.68
Draw16%fair 6.35 · @3.90
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.34%fair 2.92 · @3.70
3.43Expected goals
1.91Ząbkovia Ząbki xG
1.53Polonia Lidzbark Warm. xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Ząbkovia Ząbki 1.9 – 1.5 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ząbkovia Ząbki to win
50%
2.00
1.68
Double chance
Either team to win
84%
1.19
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.68
1.42
Draw no bet
Ząbkovia Ząbki (draw no bet)
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.24
First team to score
Ząbkovia Ząbki to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Ząbkovia Ząbki ahead at half-time
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ząbkovia Ząbki / FT Ząbkovia Ząbki
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Ząbkovia Ząbki – last 6
LWDDWD
7 Nov
@ Olimpia Elbląg
0–2
L
31 Oct
vs Swit
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Wisła Płock II
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ Troszyn
1–1
D
14 Oct
@ ŁKS Łódź II
3–0
W
10 Oct
vs Jagiellonia II
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. – last 6
WLWLWW
7 Nov
vs Troszyn
4–2
W
30 Oct
@ Jagiellonia II
1–2
L
24 Oct
vs ŁKS Łódź II
3–0
W
17 Oct
@ Mławianka Mława
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Łomża
3–2
W
3 Oct
@ Lechia T. Mazowiecki
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ząbkovia Ząbki and Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
What is the prediction for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
On our numbers Ząbkovia Ząbki have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 34%.
How many goals will there be in Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
Our predicted score is Ząbkovia Ząbki 2–1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm.?
Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
