Value bet: Lipno Stęszew to win @ 2.92 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultNoteć Czarnków to win43% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.77
Noteć Czarnków vs Lipno Stęszew prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
III Liga Group 2 action on Saturday 14 November: Noteć Czarnków take on Lipno Stęszew from 13:00 WAT. Noteć Czarnków sit 9th with 21 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Lipno Stęszew are 16th on 14 (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Noteć Czarnków – form over the last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Stargard Szczeciński 0–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Lipno Stęszew – form over the last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Unia Swarzędz 1–2 at home. They score 1.5 and concede 1.5 per game.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Lipno Stęszew 1–0 Noteć Czarnków.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Noteć Czarnków 1.5 – 1.5 Lipno Stęszew in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 59% for over 2.5 goals, 56% for GG.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Noteć Czarnków 43% · draw 16% · Lipno Stęszew 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Lipno Stęszew to win at 2.92 – we make it 41%, the price implies 34%.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 62% confidence at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Noteć Czarnków 1–1 Lipno Stęszew. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Noteć Czarnków43%fair 2.35 · @1.98
Draw16%fair 6.10 · @3.64
Lipno Stęszew41%fair 2.44 · @2.92
3.04Expected goals
1.54Noteć Czarnków xG
1.50Lipno Stęszew xG
56%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Noteć Czarnków 1.5 – 1.5 Lipno Stęszew expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Noteć Czarnków vs Lipno Stęszew?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Noteć Czarnków vs Lipno Stęszew?
On our numbers Noteć Czarnków have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Lipno Stęszew 41%.
How many goals will there be in Noteć Czarnków vs Lipno Stęszew?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Noteć Czarnków vs Lipno Stęszew?
Our predicted score is Noteć Czarnków 1–1 Lipno Stęszew, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Noteć Czarnków vs Lipno Stęszew?
Noteć Czarnków vs Lipno Stęszew (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
