Fri 13 Nov

Grom Nowy Staw v Kalisz: numbers & prediction

Sat 14 Nov 2026

Kalisz

DDDLL
Grom Nowy Staw 46%Draw 17%Kalisz 37% Expected goals 1.75 – 1.53
63%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.47

6/10Rating
1.47Odds
1

Value bet: Grom Nowy Staw to win @ 2.58 – our chance 46% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultGrom Nowy Staw to win46% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.35

Grom Nowy Staw vs Kalisz prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Grom Nowy Staw v Kalisz in the III Liga Group 2 – Saturday 14 November, 12:00 WAT. Grom Nowy Staw sit 13th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Kalisz are 10th on 20 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Grom Nowy Staw – form over the last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Gedania Gdansk 2–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.7 per game.

Kalisz – form over the last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Luzino 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.

On form, Grom Nowy Staw have the edge: 1.0 points a game against 0.5.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Grom Nowy Staw 1.7 – 1.5 Kalisz in expected goals – roughly 3.3 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 63% likely and both teams score 57% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Grom Nowy Staw 46% · draw 17% · Kalisz 37%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.42.
  • Value angle: Grom Nowy Staw to win at 2.58 – we make it 46%, the price implies 39%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Over 2.5 goals, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.47. Predicted score: Grom Nowy Staw 2–1 Kalisz. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Grom Nowy Staw46%fair 2.16 · @2.58
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @3.52
Kalisz37%fair 2.70 · @2.22
3.28Expected goals
1.75Grom Nowy Staw xG
1.53Kalisz xG
57%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Grom Nowy Staw 1.7 – 1.5 Kalisz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGrom Nowy Staw to win46%2.162.58 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win83%1.201.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.771.42
Draw no betGrom Nowy Staw (draw no bet)55%1.80–
Asian handicapKalisz +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals63%1.601.47
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals59%1.701.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals77%1.311.18
First team to scoreGrom Nowy Staw to score first51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time38%2.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT Grom Nowy Staw / FT Grom Nowy Staw26%3.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.35–

Recent results

Grom Nowy Staw – last 6

WLLWLL
7 Nov@ Gedania Gdansk2–1W
31 Octvs Lipno Stęszew1–2L
24 Oct@ Stargard Szczeciński1–3L
17 Octvs Chemik Bydgoszcz2–0W
10 Oct@ Victoria Września0–1L
3 Octvs Bałtyk Koszalin1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kalisz – last 6

DDDLLL
7 Novvs Luzino1–1D
31 Oct@ Gedania Gdansk0–0D
24 Octvs Polonia Środa0–0D
17 Oct@ Lipno Stęszew0–1L
10 Octvs Lech Poznań II2–4L
3 Oct@ Stargard Szczeciński0–5L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Grom Nowy Staw and Kalisz.

Grom Nowy Staw vs Kalisz head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Grom Nowy Staw vs Kalisz?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.47.

Who will win Grom Nowy Staw vs Kalisz?

On our numbers Grom Nowy Staw have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Kalisz 37%.

How many goals will there be in Grom Nowy Staw vs Kalisz?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Grom Nowy Staw vs Kalisz?

Our predicted score is Grom Nowy Staw 2–1 Kalisz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Grom Nowy Staw vs Kalisz?

Grom Nowy Staw vs Kalisz (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.