Stal Mielec 15%Draw 22%Ruch Chorzów 62%Expected goals 0.89 – 1.98
62%
ZoraTips pick
Ruch Chorzów to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultRuch Chorzów to win ✗62% · @1.67
Double chanceRuch Chorzów or draw ✗85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Stal Mielec v Ruch Chorzów in the I Liga – Sunday 8 November, 20:15 WAT, Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu. Stal Mielec sit 11th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Ruch Chorzów are 5th on 22 (in the top half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Stal Mielec – form over the last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
Ruch Chorzów – form over the last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Ruch Chorzów have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Stal Mielec 0.9 – 2.0 Ruch Chorzów in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 55% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Stal Mielec 15% · draw 22% · Ruch Chorzów 62%.
Safer play: Ruch Chorzów or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Ruch Chorzów to win, rated at 62% confidence at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.61, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Stal Mielec 0–1 Ruch Chorzów. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Stal Mielec15%fair 6.52 · @4.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.64
Ruch Chorzów62%fair 1.61 · @1.67
2.87Expected goals
0.89Stal Mielec xG
1.98Ruch Chorzów xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Stal Mielec 0.9 – 2.0 Ruch Chorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ruch Chorzów to win✗
62%
1.61
1.67
Double chance
Ruch Chorzów or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Draw no bet
Ruch Chorzów (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Ruch Chorzów -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.13
First team to score
Ruch Chorzów to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Ruch Chorzów ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ruch Chorzów / FT Ruch Chorzów✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Stal Mielec – last 6
WDLWLL
30 Oct
@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Chrobry Głogów
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Miedz Legnica
0–3
L
11 Oct
vs Warta Poznań
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Lechia Gdansk
1–7
L
14 Sep
vs Nieciecza
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ruch Chorzów – last 6
DWWWWL
3 Nov
@ Pogoń Siedlce
1–1
D
28 Oct
@ Znicz Pruszków
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2–0
W
16 Oct
vs Odra Opole
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ ŁKS Łódź
2–0
W
3 Oct
vs Lechia Gdansk
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stal Mielec and Ruch Chorzów.
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our pick is Ruch Chorzów to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?
On our numbers Stal Mielec have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ruch Chorzów 62%.
How many goals will there be in Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our predicted score is Stal Mielec 0–1 Ruch Chorzów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?
Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
