Wed 11 Nov

Pogoń Siedlce v Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: numbers & prediction

I Liga · Poland · Stadion ROSRRiT
Pogoń Siedlce 41%Draw 21%Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 38% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.27
75%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win @ 2.94 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPogoń Siedlce to win ✓41% · @2.09
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.93

Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Pogoń Siedlce host Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in the I Liga on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 17:00 WAT at Stadion ROSRRiT. Pogoń Siedlce sit 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 7th on 21 (in the top half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Pogoń Siedlce – form over the last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Ruch Chorzów 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.8 per game.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – form over the last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Stal Mielec 0–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.8 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 11 Jul 2026, finished Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 2–2 Pogoń Siedlce. Across the last 2 meetings Pogoń Siedlce have won 1, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0, with 1 draw, averaging 3.0 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Pogoń Siedlce 1.3 – 1.3 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 61% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Pogoń Siedlce 41% · draw 21% · Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 38%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
  • Value angle: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win at 2.94 – we make it 38%, the price implies 34%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Pogoń Siedlce41%fair 2.43 · @2.09
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.34
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki38%fair 2.63 · @2.94
2.61Expected goals
1.34Pogoń Siedlce xG
1.27Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 1.3 – 1.3 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPogoń Siedlce to win ✓41%2.432.09
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.60
Draw no betPogoń Siedlce (draw no bet) ✓52%1.92–
Asian handicapPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.971.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.34
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.10
First team to scorePogoń Siedlce to score first48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pogoń Siedlce / FT Pogoń Siedlce ✓22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%11.93–

Recent results

Pogoń Siedlce – last 6

DDWLLL
3 Novvs Ruch Chorzów1–1D
28 Oct@ Tychy 712–2D
25 Oct@ Odra Opole1–0W
18 Octvs Stal Rzeszów3–4L
15 Octvs Puszcza Niepołomice1–3L
9 Oct@ Podbeskidzie0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 6

LLLWLW
30 Octvs Stal Mielec0–1L
25 Oct@ Ruch Chorzów0–2L
17 Octvs Polonia Warszawa0–1L
10 Oct@ Chrobry Głogów4–0W
2 Oct@ Radomiak Radom2–7L
19 Sepvs ŁKS Łódź2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Pogoń Siedlce2–2
19 Apr 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Pogoń Siedlce0–2
Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki head-to-head page →

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa14743+825
2ŁKS Łódź14743+525
3Polonia Bytom14662+424
4Lechia Gdansk14716+322
5Ruch Chorzów14644+322
6Nieciecza14644+222
7Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki14635+621
8Miedz Legnica14554+720
9Warta Poznań14617019
10Pogoń Siedlce14545019
11Stal Mielec14545-819
12Arka Gdynia14536+218
13Stal Rzeszów14536-718
14Chrobry Głogów14365-215
15Podbeskidzie14293-315
16Puszcza Niepołomice14428-414
17Unia Skierniewice14428-614
18Odra Opole14338-1012

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 38%.

How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Our predicted score is Pogoń Siedlce 1–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.