Fri 13 Nov

Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Scotland · Tynecastle Park
2–5
FT

Falkirk

WWWWL
Heart Of Midlothian 58%Draw 23%Falkirk 19% Expected goals 1.91 – 1.00
81%
ZoraTips pick

Heart Of Midlothian or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✗58% · @1.75
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Premiership action on Sunday 8 November: Heart Of Midlothian take on Falkirk at Tynecastle Park from 16:00 WAT. Heart Of Midlothian sit 4th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Falkirk are 3rd on 21 (in the top four). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Heart Of Midlothian – form over the last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to FC Thun 1–3 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 2.7 per game.

Falkirk – form over the last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Celtic 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Falkirk have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 0.7.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 15 Sep 2026, finished Falkirk 2–1 Heart Of Midlothian. Across the last 3 meetings Heart Of Midlothian have won 2s, Falkirk 1, with 0 draws, averaging 2.3 goals, with both sides scoring 1 time.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Heart Of Midlothian 1.9 – 1.0 Falkirk in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Heart Of Midlothian 58% · draw 23% · Falkirk 19%.
  • Safer play: Heart Of Midlothian or draw (81%) at 1.25.
  • Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Heart Of Midlothian or draw, rated at 81% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Falkirk. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Heart Of Midlothian58%fair 1.72 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.10
Falkirk19%fair 5.27 · @4.00
2.91Expected goals
1.91Heart Of Midlothian xG
1.00Falkirk xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Heart Of Midlothian 1.9 – 1.0 Falkirk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✗58%1.721.75
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✗81%1.231.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.70
Draw no betHeart Of Midlothian (draw no bet) ✗75%1.33–
Asian handicapFalkirk +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.511.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.221.17
First team to scoreHeart Of Midlothian to score first ✗62%1.61–
Half-time resultHeart Of Midlothian ahead at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Heart Of Midlothian / FT Heart Of Midlothian ✗37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.06–

Recent results

Heart Of Midlothian – last 6

LLDWLL
5 Nov@ FC Thun1–3L
1 Novvs Hibernian1–2L
28 Octvs Rangers2–2D
25 Oct@ Motherwell2–0W
22 Oct@ Trabzonspor0–2L
18 Oct@ Celtic1–7L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Falkirk – last 6

WWWWLD
1 Novvs Celtic2–0W
28 Oct@ Aberdeen1–0W
24 Octvs Kilmarnock3–0W
17 Oct@ Hibernian2–1W
10 Octvs Dundee1–2L
19 Sep@ ST Johnstone1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Sep 2026Falkirk v Heart Of Midlothian2–1
13 May 2026Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk3–0
21 Feb 2026Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk1–0
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?

Our pick is Heart Of Midlothian or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?

On our numbers Heart Of Midlothian have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Falkirk 19%.

How many goals will there be in Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?

Our predicted score is Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Falkirk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tynecastle Park.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.