Thu 12 Nov

Celtic v Kilmarnock: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Scotland · Celtic Park

Celtic

WLDWL
1–0
FT
Celtic 70%Draw 19%Kilmarnock 11% Expected goals 2.64 – 1.02
73%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCeltic to win ✓70% · @1.18
Double chanceCeltic or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.92

Celtic vs Kilmarnock prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Premiership action on Sunday 8 November: Celtic take on Kilmarnock at Celtic Park from 17:00 WAT. Celtic sit 1st with 31 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Kilmarnock are 12th on 9 (in the bottom three). A 22-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Celtic – form over the last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Beşiktaş 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. 2.5 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Kilmarnock – form over the last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with ST Johnstone 2–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 2.3 per game.

On form, Celtic have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 0.8.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 9 Aug 2026, finished Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic. Across the last 2 meetings Celtic have won 2s, Kilmarnock 0, with 0 draws, averaging 5.5 goals, with both sides scoring 2 times.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Celtic 2.6 – 1.0 Kilmarnock in expected goals – roughly 3.7 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 73% likely and both teams score 59% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Celtic 70% · draw 19% · Kilmarnock 11%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Celtic 2–1 Kilmarnock. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Celtic70%fair 1.43 · @1.18
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @7.50
Kilmarnock11%fair 9.44 · @11.00
3.66Expected goals
2.64Celtic xG
1.02Kilmarnock xG
59%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Celtic 2.6 – 1.0 Kilmarnock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCeltic to win ✓70%1.431.18
Double chanceCeltic or draw ✓89%1.121.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.75
Draw no betCeltic (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapCeltic -1 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗89%1.131.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73%1.361.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗54%1.841.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓65%1.541.57
First team to scoreCeltic to score first ✓70%1.42–
Half-time resultCeltic ahead at half-time ✓54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celtic / FT Celtic ✓49%2.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.92–

Recent results

Celtic – last 6

WLDWLW
5 Novvs Beşiktaş3–2W
1 Nov@ Falkirk0–2L
28 Octvs Dundee Utd2–2D
25 Oct@ Hibernian2–1W
22 Octvs Celta Vigo1–2L
18 Octvs Heart Of Midlothian7–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kilmarnock – last 6

DLLWLD
31 Octvs ST Johnstone2–2D
28 Oct@ Dundee1–3L
24 Oct@ Falkirk0–3L
17 Octvs Motherwell3–2W
10 Oct@ Rangers1–3L
19 Sepvs Heart Of Midlothian1–1D
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Aug 2026Kilmarnock v Celtic1–5
15 Feb 2026Kilmarnock v Celtic2–3
Celtic vs Kilmarnock head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

On our numbers Celtic have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kilmarnock 11%.

How many goals will there be in Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Our predicted score is Celtic 2–1 Kilmarnock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Celtic vs Kilmarnock (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Celtic Park.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.