Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
J1 League action on Sunday 8 November: Machida Zelvia take on Sanfrecce Hiroshima at Machida GION Stadium from 06:00 WAT. Machida Zelvia sit 3rd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th on 30 (in the top four).
Form guide
Machida Zelvia – form over the last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 0.2 per game. 5 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – form over the last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Mito Hollyhock 3–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Machida Zelvia 1.3 – 1.6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Machida Zelvia 34% · draw 21% · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.63.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 77% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Machida Zelvia34%fair 2.96 · @2.92
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.38
Sanfrecce Hiroshima45%fair 2.22 · @2.29
2.93Expected goals
1.34Machida Zelvia xG
1.59Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 1.3 – 1.6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✗
45%
2.22
2.29
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.63
Draw no bet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Machida Zelvia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.10
First team to score
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score first✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Machida Zelvia – last 6
WDWDWW
5 Nov
vs Shanghai Shenhua
2–1
W
1 Nov
vs Gamba Osaka
0–0
D
29 Oct
@ Shanghai Shenhua
1–0
W
24 Oct
@ Vissel Kobe
0–0
D
21 Oct
@ Shimizu S-pulse
5–0
W
18 Oct
vs Avispa Fukuoka
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6
WLWLWW
31 Oct
@ Mito Hollyhock
3–0
W
28 Oct
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
3–4
L
24 Oct
vs Shimizu S-pulse
4–0
W
21 Oct
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–4
L
17 Oct
vs Kyoto Sanga
3–0
W
14 Oct
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45%.
How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Machida GION Stadium.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.