Wed 11 Nov

Machida Zelvia v Sanfrecce Hiroshima: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Machida GION Stadium
Machida Zelvia 34%Draw 21%Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.59
77%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗45% · @2.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.04

Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

J1 League action on Sunday 8 November: Machida Zelvia take on Sanfrecce Hiroshima at Machida GION Stadium from 06:00 WAT. Machida Zelvia sit 3rd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th on 30 (in the top four).

Form guide

Machida Zelvia – form over the last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 0.2 per game. 5 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – form over the last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Mito Hollyhock 3–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.3 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Machida Zelvia 1.3 – 1.6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Machida Zelvia 34% · draw 21% · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.63.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 77% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Machida Zelvia34%fair 2.96 · @2.92
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.38
Sanfrecce Hiroshima45%fair 2.22 · @2.29
2.93Expected goals
1.34Machida Zelvia xG
1.59Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 1.3 – 1.6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗45%2.222.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.63
Draw no betSanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet)57%1.75–
Asian handicapMachida Zelvia +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.311.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.10
First team to scoreSanfrecce Hiroshima to score first ✗51%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✗26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.04–

Recent results

Machida Zelvia – last 6

WDWDWW
5 Novvs Shanghai Shenhua2–1W
1 Novvs Gamba Osaka0–0D
29 Oct@ Shanghai Shenhua1–0W
24 Oct@ Vissel Kobe0–0D
21 Oct@ Shimizu S-pulse5–0W
18 Octvs Avispa Fukuoka3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

WLWLWW
31 Oct@ Mito Hollyhock3–0W
28 Oct@ Yokohama F. Marinos3–4L
24 Octvs Shimizu S-pulse4–0W
21 Oct@ V-varen Nagasaki0–4L
17 Octvs Kyoto Sanga3–0W
14 Oct@ Matsumoto Yamaga1–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45%.

How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Machida GION Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.