Wed 11 Nov

Gamba Osaka v Cerezo Osaka: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Panasonic Stadium Suita
2–3
FT
Gamba Osaka 43%Draw 21%Cerezo Osaka 36% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.33
67%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.38Odds

Picks by market

ResultGamba Osaka to win ✗43% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.33

Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Gamba Osaka v Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League – Sunday 8 November, 07:00 WAT, Panasonic Stadium Suita. Gamba Osaka sit 5th with 28 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Cerezo Osaka are 2nd on 31 (in the top four). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Gamba Osaka – form over the last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Pohang Steelers 3–3 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 1.5 per game.

Cerezo Osaka – form over the last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Kashima 1–4 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 11 Apr 2026, finished Gamba Osaka 0–1 Cerezo Osaka.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Gamba Osaka 1.5 – 1.3 Cerezo Osaka in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 54% for over 2.5, 62% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Gamba Osaka 43% · draw 21% · Cerezo Osaka 36%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.55.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Gamba Osaka 1–1 Cerezo Osaka. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Gamba Osaka43%fair 2.31 · @2.28
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.44
Cerezo Osaka36%fair 2.80 · @2.89
2.82Expected goals
1.49Gamba Osaka xG
1.33Cerezo Osaka xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Gamba Osaka 1.5 – 1.3 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGamba Osaka to win ✗43%2.312.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.55
Draw no betGamba Osaka (draw no bet) ✗55%1.82–
Asian handicapCerezo Osaka +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.69
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.491.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.201.11
First team to scoreGamba Osaka to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka ✗24%4.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.33–

Recent results

Gamba Osaka – last 6

DDDDWD
4 Nov@ Pohang Steelers3–3D
1 Nov@ Machida Zelvia0–0D
28 Octvs Buriram United1–1D
24 Octvs Kyoto Sanga2–2D
21 Oct@ Avispa Fukuoka2–1W
17 Oct@ Shimizu S-pulse2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cerezo Osaka – last 6

LWDDLW
31 Oct@ Kashima1–4L
28 Oct@ Mito Hollyhock3–1W
25 Octvs JEF United Chiba2–2D
21 Oct@ Nagoya Grampus1–1D
17 Octvs Kawasaki Frontale2–4L
14 Oct@ Gainare Tottori3–2W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Apr 2026Gamba Osaka v Cerezo Osaka0–1
Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?

On our numbers Gamba Osaka have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cerezo Osaka 36%.

How many goals will there be in Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?

Our predicted score is Gamba Osaka 1–1 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?

Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Panasonic Stadium Suita.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.