Wed 11 Nov

FC Thun v FC Basel 1893: numbers & prediction

Super League · Switzerland · Stockhorn Arena

FC Thun

WWLLD
3–3
FT
FC Thun 43%Draw 19%FC Basel 1893 38% Expected goals 1.94 – 1.81
70%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: FC Basel 1893 to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Thun to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.48

FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

FC Thun host FC Basel 1893 in the Super League on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 16:30 WAT at Stockhorn Arena. FC Thun sit 8th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while FC Basel 1893 are 7th on 15 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

FC Thun – form over the last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Heart Of Midlothian 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.8 per game.

FC Basel 1893 – form over the last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to FC Lugano 1–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They score 1.3 and concede 2.5 per game.

On form, FC Thun have the edge: 1.2 points a game against 0.7.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 9 Aug 2026, finished FC Basel 1893 4–2 FC Thun.

Goals outlook

Our model projects FC Thun 1.9 – 1.8 FC Basel 1893 in expected goals – roughly 3.7 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: FC Thun 43% · draw 19% · FC Basel 1893 38%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.36.
  • Value angle: FC Basel 1893 to win at 3.00 – we make it 38%, the price implies 33%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 70% confidence at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: FC Thun 2–1 FC Basel 1893. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

FC Thun43%fair 2.33 · @2.15
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @4.00
FC Basel 189338%fair 2.64 · @3.00
3.75Expected goals
1.94FC Thun xG
1.81FC Basel 1893 xG
69%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: FC Thun 1.9 – 1.8 FC Basel 1893 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Thun to win ✗43%2.332.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.451.36
Draw no betFC Thun (draw no bet)53%1.88–
Asian handicapFC Basel 1893 +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓50%2.001.91
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.441.33
First team to scoreFC Thun to score first50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Thun / FT FC Thun ✗26%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.48–

Recent results

FC Thun – last 6

WWLLDL
5 Novvs Heart Of Midlothian3–1W
1 Nov@ Lausanne5–4W
25 Octvs FC Lugano2–3L
22 Octvs HNK Hajduk Split0–1L
18 Oct@ FC Schaffhausen1–1D
15 Oct@ Twente0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Basel 1893 – last 6

LDWLLL
1 Nov@ FC Lugano1–2L
25 Octvs Grasshoppers0–0D
16 Oct@ Stade Nyonnais3–0W
11 Oct@ FC Vaduz0–3L
3 Oct@ FC Winterthur3–7L
20 Sepvs FC ST. Gallen1–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Aug 2026FC Basel 1893 v FC Thun4–2
FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano131111+2134
2BSC Young Boys13841+1628
3FC Sion13823+1126
4FC ST. Gallen13715+222
5FC Zurich13634-121
6Servette FC13526+117
7FC Basel 189313436-415
8FC Thun13427-1014
9FC Luzern13346-713
10Grasshoppers13256-1311
11FC Vaduz13319-510
12Lausanne13148-117

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?

On our numbers FC Thun have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Basel 1893 38%.

How many goals will there be in FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?

Our predicted score is FC Thun 2–1 FC Basel 1893, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?

FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stockhorn Arena.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.