Wed 11 Nov

FC ST. Gallen v FC Lugano: numbers & prediction

Super League · Switzerland · Kybunpark
5–0
FT
FC ST. Gallen 39%Draw 19%FC Lugano 42% Expected goals 1.71 – 1.78
66%
ZoraTips pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: FC Lugano to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Lugano to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.09

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

FC ST. Gallen host FC Lugano in the Super League on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 14:00 WAT at Kybunpark. FC ST. Gallen sit 4th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while FC Lugano are 1st on 34 (top of the table). A 12-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

FC ST. Gallen – form over the last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Servette FC 2–1 at home. They score 1.8 and concede 1.2 per game.

FC Lugano – form over the last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Kauno Žalgiris 3–0 at home. On their travels they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. 3.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

On form, FC Lugano have the edge: 3.0 points a game against 2.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 16 Sep 2026, finished FC Lugano 4–1 FC ST. Gallen. Across the last 3 meetings FC ST. Gallen have won 1, FC Lugano 1, with 1 draw, averaging 3.3 goals, with both sides scoring 3 times.

Goals outlook

Our model projects FC ST. Gallen 1.7 – 1.8 FC Lugano in expected goals – roughly 3.5 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 66% for over 2.5 goals, 66% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: FC ST. Gallen 39% · draw 19% · FC Lugano 42%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.50.
  • Value angle: FC Lugano to win at 2.62 – we make it 42%, the price implies 38%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Both teams to score, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: FC ST. Gallen 1–1 FC Lugano. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

FC ST. Gallen39%fair 2.56 · @2.30
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.90
FC Lugano42%fair 2.39 · @2.62
3.48Expected goals
1.71FC ST. Gallen xG
1.78FC Lugano xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: FC ST. Gallen 1.7 – 1.8 FC Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Lugano to win ✗42%2.392.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.501.50
Draw no betFC Lugano (draw no bet) ✗52%1.93–
Asian handicapFC ST. Gallen +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.171.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.821.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗73%1.371.28
First team to scoreFC Lugano to score first ✗49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.76–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Lugano / FT FC Lugano ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.09–

Recent results

FC ST. Gallen – last 6

WLWWDW
31 Octvs Servette FC2–1W
24 Oct@ BSC Young Boys0–2L
16 Oct@ Rapperswil2–0W
11 Octvs Lausanne1–0W
3 Oct@ Brühl3–3D
20 Sep@ FC Basel 18933–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Lugano – last 6

WWWWWW
5 Novvs Kauno Žalgiris3–0W
1 Novvs FC Basel 18932–1W
25 Oct@ FC Thun3–2W
22 Oct@ Getafe5–2W
18 Oct@ Pully Football4–0W
15 Octvs FK Crvena Zvezda3–2W
3.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Sep 2026FC Lugano v FC ST. Gallen4–1
10 May 2026FC Lugano v FC ST. Gallen1–2
17 Mar 2026FC ST. Gallen v FC Lugano1–1
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano131111+2134
2BSC Young Boys13841+1628
3FC Sion13823+1126
4FC ST. Gallen13715+222
5FC Zurich13634-121
6Servette FC13526+117
7FC Basel 189313436-415
8FC Thun13427-1014
9FC Luzern13346-713
10Grasshoppers13256-1311
11FC Vaduz13319-510
12Lausanne13148-117

More Super League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?

On our numbers FC ST. Gallen have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Lugano 42%.

How many goals will there be in FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?

Our predicted score is FC ST. Gallen 1–1 FC Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Kybunpark.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.