Value bet: PAU to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNantes to win ✓40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.00
PAU vs Nantes prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is PAU v Nantes in the Ligue 2 – Friday 6 November, 20:00 WAT, Nouste Camp. PAU sit 5th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Nantes are 14th on 12 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
PAU – form over the last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Metz 3–1 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Nantes – form over the last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Clermont Foot 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
On form, PAU have the edge: 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model projects PAU 1.3 – 1.3 Nantes in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 61% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: PAU 38% · draw 22% · Nantes 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Value angle: PAU to win at 2.90 – we make it 38%, the price implies 34%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: PAU 1–1 Nantes. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
PAU38%fair 2.63 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Nantes40%fair 2.52 · @2.20
2.67Expected goals
1.32PAU xG
1.35Nantes xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: PAU 1.3 – 1.3 Nantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win✓
40%
2.52
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Draw no bet
Nantes (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
PAU +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Nantes to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantes / FT Nantes✓
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.00
–
Recent results
PAU – last 6
WWWWWL
30 Oct
@ Metz
3–1
W
23 Oct
vs Grenoble
2–1
W
16 Oct
@ Guingamp
2–1
W
9 Oct
vs Laval
3–2
W
18 Sep
vs Dunkerque
2–0
W
11 Sep
@ Montpellier
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nantes – last 6
DLLDWL
30 Oct
vs Clermont Foot
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Saint Etienne
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Dunkerque
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Reims
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Boulogne
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Sochaux
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAU and Nantes.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win PAU vs Nantes?
On our numbers PAU have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nantes 40%.
How many goals will there be in PAU vs Nantes?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAU vs Nantes?
Our predicted score is PAU 1–1 Nantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is PAU vs Nantes?
PAU vs Nantes (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Nouste Camp.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
