Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultMontpellier to win ✗57% · @1.75
Double chanceMontpellier or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Montpellier vs Metz prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Montpellier host Metz in the Ligue 2 on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 20:00 WAT at Stade de la Mosson. Montpellier sit 3rd with 24 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Metz are 7th on 17 (in the top half).
Form guide
Montpellier – form over the last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Annecy 3–0 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Metz – form over the last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to PAU 1–3 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 2.2 per game.
On form, Montpellier have the edge: 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Montpellier 1.8 – 0.9 Metz in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 54% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Montpellier 57% · draw 25% · Metz 18%.
Safer play: Montpellier or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Montpellier or draw, rated at 82% confidence at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Montpellier 1–0 Metz. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Montpellier57%fair 1.75 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.50
Metz18%fair 5.68 · @3.90
2.76Expected goals
1.83Montpellier xG
0.93Metz xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Montpellier 1.8 – 0.9 Metz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montpellier to win✗
57%
1.75
1.75
Double chance
Montpellier or draw✗
82%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Draw no bet
Montpellier (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Metz +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
1.17
First team to score
Montpellier to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Montpellier ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montpellier / FT Montpellier✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Montpellier – last 6
WWWWDW
31 Oct
@ Annecy
3–0
W
26 Oct
vs RED Star FC 93
2–1
W
19 Oct
@ Rodez
3–0
W
9 Oct
vs Grenoble
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Reims
1–1
D
11 Sep
vs PAU
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Metz – last 6
LDWLDL
30 Oct
vs PAU
1–3
L
23 Oct
@ Dunkerque
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Sochaux
3–2
W
12 Oct
@ Dijon
2–4
L
19 Sep
vs Saint Etienne
2–2
D
14 Sep
@ RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montpellier and Metz.
Our pick is Montpellier or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Montpellier vs Metz?
On our numbers Montpellier have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Metz 18%.
How many goals will there be in Montpellier vs Metz?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montpellier vs Metz?
Our predicted score is Montpellier 1–0 Metz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Montpellier vs Metz?
Montpellier vs Metz (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Mosson.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
