AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Eredivisie action on Sunday 8 November: AZ Alkmaar take on Groningen at AFAS Stadion from 16:45 WAT. AZ Alkmaar sit 5th with 23 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Groningen are 9th on 15 (in the top half).
Form guide
AZ Alkmaar – form over the last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Juventus 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.3 per game.
Groningen – form over the last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 at home. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 22 Mar 2026, finished Groningen 3–0 AZ Alkmaar.
Goals outlook
Our model projects AZ Alkmaar 2.4 – 1.2 Groningen in expected goals – roughly 3.6 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 69% for over 2.5 goals, 62% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: AZ Alkmaar 63% · draw 21% · Groningen 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Groningen. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
AZ Alkmaar63%fair 1.58 · @1.48
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.75
Groningen15%fair 6.52 · @6.00
3.60Expected goals
2.43AZ Alkmaar xG
1.17Groningen xG
62%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: AZ Alkmaar 2.4 – 1.2 Groningen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
On our numbers AZ Alkmaar have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Groningen 15%.
How many goals will there be in AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
Our predicted score is AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Groningen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Stadion.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
