Wed 11 Nov

Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen: numbers & prediction

Eredivisie · Netherlands · Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht

LWDWW
2–3
FT
Utrecht 43%Draw 20%NEC Nijmegen 37% Expected goals 1.90 – 1.76
69%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultUtrecht to win ✗43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.25

Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Utrecht host NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 20:00 WAT at Stadion Galgenwaard. Utrecht sit 14th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while NEC Nijmegen are 11th on 14 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Utrecht – form over the last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Telstar 2–4 on the road. They score 1.5 and concede 2.0 per game.

NEC Nijmegen – form over the last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Omonia Nicosia 3–1 at home. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Utrecht 1.9 – 1.8 NEC Nijmegen in expected goals – roughly 3.7 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 69% likely and both teams score 68% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Utrecht 43% · draw 20% · NEC Nijmegen 37%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.40.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 2.5 goals, rated at 69% confidence at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Utrecht 2–1 NEC Nijmegen. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Utrecht43%fair 2.32 · @2.45
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.80
NEC Nijmegen37%fair 2.68 · @2.60
3.67Expected goals
1.90Utrecht xG
1.76NEC Nijmegen xG
68%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Utrecht 1.9 – 1.8 NEC Nijmegen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUtrecht to win ✗43%2.322.45 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.481.40
Draw no betUtrecht (draw no bet) ✗54%1.87–
Asian handicapNEC Nijmegen +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.931.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗71%1.411.30
First team to scoreUtrecht to score first ✗51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗35%2.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Utrecht / FT Utrecht ✗26%3.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.25–

Recent results

Utrecht – last 6

LWDWWL
1 Nov@ Telstar2–4L
29 Oct@ Kozakken Boys1–0W
24 Octvs PEC Zwolle1–1D
18 Oct@ Twente2–1W
11 Octvs Willem II3–1W
20 Sep@ Feyenoord0–5L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

NEC Nijmegen – last 6

WLDWDD
5 Novvs Omonia Nicosia3–1W
31 Oct@ Heerenveen0–1L
25 Octvs Groningen2–2D
22 Oct@ Dinamo Zagreb4–2W
18 Octvs Fortuna Sittard2–2D
15 Octvs Levski Sofia1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen.

Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen head-to-head page →

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV Eindhoven12822+2526
2Feyenoord12741+1925
3Ajax12741+1725
4Twente12732+1824
5AZ Alkmaar12723+823
6Heerenveen12633+821
7Fortuna Sittard12552020
8GO Ahead Eagles12453-317
9Groningen12435+115
10Cambuur12435-215
11NEC Nijmegen12354-114
12Sparta Rotterdam12336-812
13PEC Zwolle12336-1112
14Utrecht12336-1312
15Excelsior12327-1311
16Telstar12246-710
17ADO Den Haag12237-99
18Willem II12039-293

More Eredivisie predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?

On our numbers Utrecht have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 20% and NEC Nijmegen 37%.

How many goals will there be in Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our predicted score is Utrecht 2–1 NEC Nijmegen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?

Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Galgenwaard.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.