Wed 11 Nov

Emmen v MVV: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · De Oude Meerdijk

Emmen

LWWWW
0–2
FT

MVV

LLDLL
Emmen 68%Draw 20%MVV 12% Expected goals 2.37 – 0.96
68%
ZoraTips pick

Emmen to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultEmmen to win ✗68% · @1.67
Double chanceEmmen or draw ✗88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Emmen vs MVV prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Emmen v MVV in the Eerste Divisie – Sunday 8 November, 16:45 WAT, De Oude Meerdijk. Emmen sit 6th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while MVV are 8th on 0 (in the top half). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Emmen – form over the last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Den Bosch 0–5 at home. They score 1.7 and concede 1.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

MVV – form over the last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to VVV Venlo 1–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

On form, Emmen have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 0.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 6 Apr 2026, finished Emmen 2–1 MVV.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Emmen 2.4 – 1.0 MVV in expected goals – roughly 3.3 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Emmen 68% · draw 20% · MVV 12%.
  • Safer play: Emmen or draw (88%) at 1.17.
  • Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Emmen to win, rated at 68% confidence at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.48, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Emmen 2–0 MVV. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Emmen68%fair 1.48 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.80
MVV12%fair 8.11 · @5.00
3.32Expected goals
2.37Emmen xG
0.96MVV xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%

From our goals model: Emmen 2.4 – 1.0 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEmmen to win ✗68%1.481.67 ▲
Double chanceEmmen or draw ✗88%1.141.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.62
Draw no betEmmen (draw no bet) ✗85%1.18–
Asian handicapEmmen -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.631.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.671.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.291.18
First team to scoreEmmen to score first ✗69%1.46–
Half-time resultEmmen ahead at half-time ✗51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT Emmen / FT Emmen ✗46%2.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

Emmen – last 6

LWWWWD
30 Octvs Den Bosch0–5L
29 Oct@ Groningen2–0W
23 Oct@ Vitesse2–0W
17 Octvs Almere City FC2–1W
9 Oct@ Dordrecht3–0W
3 Oct@ Waalwijk1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

MVV – last 6

LLDLLL
31 Octvs VVV Venlo1–2L
28 Octvs Excelsior0–3L
23 Oct@ Den Bosch2–2D
18 Octvs Heracles1–5L
9 Oct@ NAC Breda0–1L
3 Oct@ FC OSS1–4L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Emmen v MVV2–1
Emmen vs MVV head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Emmen vs MVV?

Our pick is Emmen to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Emmen vs MVV?

On our numbers Emmen have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and MVV 12%.

How many goals will there be in Emmen vs MVV?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Emmen vs MVV?

Our predicted score is Emmen 2–0 MVV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Emmen vs MVV?

Emmen vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.