Wed 11 Nov

Vitesse v De Graafschap: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · GelreDome

Vitesse

DWLWL
Postponed
Vitesse 56%Draw 23%De Graafschap 21% Expected goals 1.96 – 1.14
79%
ZoraTips pick

Vitesse or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.33

9/10Rating
1.33Odds
1

Value bet: Vitesse to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultVitesse to win56% · @1.95
Double chanceVitesse or draw79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.14

Vitesse vs De Graafschap prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Vitesse host De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 12:15 WAT at GelreDome. Vitesse sit 15th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while De Graafschap are 1st on 0 (top of the table). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Vitesse – form over the last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Jong Ajax 1–1 on the road. They score 1.0 and concede 1.2 per game.

De Graafschap – form over the last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat FC Volendam 2–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They score 1.3 and concede 1.3 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 8 Mar 2026, finished De Graafschap 1–4 Vitesse.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Vitesse 2.0 – 1.1 De Graafschap in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 61% for over 2.5 goals, 64% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Vitesse 56% · draw 23% · De Graafschap 21%.
  • Safer play: Vitesse or draw (79%) at 1.33.
  • Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.
  • Value angle: Vitesse to win at 1.95 – we make it 56%, the price implies 51%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Vitesse or draw, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.27, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Vitesse 1–1 De Graafschap. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Vitesse56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.80
De Graafschap21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
3.10Expected goals
1.96Vitesse xG
1.14De Graafschap xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Vitesse 2.0 – 1.1 De Graafschap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVitesse to win56%1.791.95 ▲
Double chanceVitesse or draw79%1.271.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score64%1.561.44
Draw no betVitesse (draw no bet)72%1.38–
Asian handicapDe Graafschap +1.5 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals82%1.221.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals61%1.651.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals61%1.651.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals78%1.281.22
First team to scoreVitesse to score first60%1.66–
Half-time resultVitesse ahead at half-time42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vitesse / FT Vitesse35%2.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.14–

Recent results

Vitesse – last 6

DWLWLD
2 Nov@ Jong Ajax1–1D
28 Oct@ VVV Venlo2–0W
23 Octvs Emmen0–2L
16 Oct@ FC Eindhoven1–0W
9 Oct@ FC Volendam0–2L
3 Octvs NAC Breda2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

De Graafschap – last 6

WLDLWD
30 Oct@ FC Volendam2–1W
27 Oct@ Roda0–1L
23 Octvs Waalwijk1–1D
19 Oct@ Jong Ajax1–2L
9 Octvs Jong Utrecht2–1W
3 Oct@ FC Eindhoven2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026De Graafschap v Vitesse1–4
Vitesse vs De Graafschap head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vitesse vs De Graafschap?

Our pick is Vitesse or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Vitesse vs De Graafschap?

On our numbers Vitesse have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and De Graafschap 21%.

How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs De Graafschap?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs De Graafschap?

Our predicted score is Vitesse 1–1 De Graafschap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Vitesse vs De Graafschap?

Vitesse vs De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.