Napoli 38%Draw 20%Lazio 42%Expected goals 1.49 – 1.58
65%
ZoraTips pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Lazio to win @ 2.90 – our chance 42% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLazio to win ✗42% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Napoli vs Lazio prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Napoli host Lazio in the Serie A on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 12:30 WAT at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Napoli sit 10th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Lazio are 1st on 29 (top of the table). A 14-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Napoli – form over the last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to FC Porto 1–4 on the road. 2.0 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Lazio – form over the last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Cagliari 2–1 at home. They are averaging 3.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
On form, Lazio have the edge: 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Napoli 1.5 – 1.6 Lazio in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 59% for over 2.5 goals, 65% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Napoli 38% · draw 20% · Lazio 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Lazio to win at 2.90 – we make it 42%, the price implies 34%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Both teams to score, rated at 65% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Napoli 1–1 Lazio. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Napoli38%fair 2.65 · @2.25
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.70
Lazio42%fair 2.39 · @2.90
3.07Expected goals
1.49Napoli xG
1.58Lazio xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Napoli 1.5 – 1.6 Lazio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win✗
42%
2.39
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Draw no bet
Lazio (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Napoli +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
First team to score
Lazio to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Napoli – last 6
LLWDWL
4 Nov
@ FC Porto
1–4
L
1 Nov
@ Juventus
0–2
L
28 Oct
@ Monza
4–1
W
24 Oct
vs AS Roma
3–3
D
20 Oct
vs BodoGlimt
4–3
W
17 Oct
@ Venezia
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lazio – last 6
WWWWWD
1 Nov
vs Cagliari
2–1
W
27 Oct
@ Sassuolo
6–2
W
24 Oct
vs Parma
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Juventus
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Monza
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Juve Stabia
3–3
D
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napoli and Lazio.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Napoli vs Lazio?
On our numbers Napoli have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lazio 42%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli vs Lazio?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Lazio?
Our predicted score is Napoli 1–1 Lazio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Napoli vs Lazio?
Napoli vs Lazio (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
